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国庆期间港股有哪些亮点?
Changjiang Securities·2025-10-09 02:43

Group 1 - The Hong Kong stock market showed positive performance during the National Day holiday, with the Hang Seng Index rising by 0.4%, the Hang Seng Tech Index increasing by 1.3%, and the Hang Seng China Enterprises Index up by 0.2% from October 1 to October 6, 2025. The gains were primarily driven by October 2 [2][5][6] - The MSCI Hong Kong Growth Index fell by 0.3%, while the MSCI Hong Kong Value Index decreased by 0.1% during the same period [5][6] - Key sectors that performed well included steel (+5.60%), electronics (+3.90%), non-ferrous metals (+3.78%), and power equipment and new energy (+3.43%), while agriculture, real estate, food and beverage, and consumer services sectors lagged [5][6] Group 2 - Gold and AI narratives emerged as leading themes during the holiday period, with the U.S. government shutdown impacting market sentiment and driving up COMEX gold and silver prices, benefiting the non-ferrous metals sector in Hong Kong [6][7] - The release of the experimental version DeepSeek-V3.2-Exp on September 29, 2025, contributed to the growth of the AI industry chain in China, leading to significant gains for semiconductor leaders and major internet companies in the Hong Kong market [6][7] Group 3 - As of October 6, 2025, the AH premium rate stood at 129.6%, close to the historical average of 127.1% since 2009, showing a significant decline from over 140% in May [7] - The VHSI index remained stable around 21, indicating a steady market environment, while the average daily trading volume in Hong Kong stocks showed an upward trend [7][8] - Short-term liquidity tightened slightly during the holiday period, as indicated by the 3-month HIBOR and overnight HIBOR rates [7][8] Group 4 - Future prospects for the Hong Kong stock market suggest potential for new highs, contingent on three assumptions: continued inflow of southbound capital, the performance of AI technology and new consumption sectors, and the transmission of monetary policy from broad money to broad credit [8] - The report emphasizes that if these conditions are met, the Hong Kong market could see further upward momentum, supported by a rebound in related industries [8]