我国经济社会发展内外部环境条件

External Environment - The global economic growth rate is expected to slow down to an average of 3.1% over the next five years, down from previous rates[9] - The average global inflation rate is projected to be 2.9% in the next five years, significantly lower than the previous five years[9] - The international trade growth rate is forecasted to average 3% annually, below the expected global economic growth rate[12] Internal Development - The proportion of final consumption expenditure in GDP is anticipated to rise from approximately 57% at the end of the 14th Five-Year Plan to around 60% by the end of the 15th Five-Year Plan[28] - China's retail sales of consumer goods are expected to increase by approximately 22.4 trillion yuan from 2014 to 2024, indicating strong consumption growth potential[30] - The service consumption share in total consumption is projected to continue rising, driven by increasing income levels and a shift towards service-oriented consumption[30] Investment Trends - Investment in areas related to people's livelihoods is deemed necessary and will become a significant growth point, addressing public service gaps and enhancing quality of life[46] - The demand for investment in elderly care and childcare services is expected to grow significantly, with a focus on building a comprehensive service system[46]