Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Huahong Semiconductor with a target price raised to HKD 119 from HKD 53 [1][5]. Core Views - The report expresses a long-term positive outlook on Huahong's "integrated" strategic layout, emphasizing the rapid maturation of the domestic AI chip ecosystem and its impact on wafer foundry demand [2][3]. - The report highlights the potential benefits of the BIS regulations, which may accelerate supply chain localization and enhance Huahong's technological capabilities [3][4]. Summary by Sections Demand Side - The report estimates that the advanced process foundry demand from Chinese design companies will reach USD 9.5 billion in 2024, with 70% of this demand currently met by TSMC [1]. - The acceleration of AI chip iterations, particularly from Huawei's Ascend series, is expected to significantly expand domestic foundry demand [1][2]. Supply Side - The new BIS regulations will extend restrictions to subsidiaries with over 50% ownership, which may lead to tighter policies and further localization of the supply chain [3]. - Huahong's acquisition of Huali Microelectronics is projected to enhance its core business and add 38,000 wafers per month of 65/55nm and 40nm process capacity [2]. Financial Projections - The report forecasts a 3% increase in net profit for 2025, reaching USD 60 million, followed by a 48% increase in 2026 to USD 89 million, and a 16% increase in 2027 to USD 103 million [4][8]. - Revenue is expected to decline by 12.34% in 2024 but rebound with a growth of 20.81% in 2025 and 20.98% in 2026 [8][22]. Valuation - The target price adjustment to HKD 119 corresponds to a 4.2x 2025E price-to-book ratio, compared to a peer average of 3.86x [4][10]. - The report emphasizes Huahong's unique position as a leader in domestic specialty processes amid the accelerating trend of semiconductor localization in China [10][11].
华虹半导体（01347）：长期看好大华虹“一体化”战略布局