格林大华期货早盘提示：铁矿-20251010

Report Industry Investment Rating - The investment rating for the iron ore in the black building materials sector is "oscillation" [3] Report's Core View - After the holiday, iron ore prices rose on the first trading day and continued to rise at night. The supply of iron ore arrivals increased, and the iron - water output showed signs of peaking. Although the market expected steel mills to have concentrated restocking demand, the impact was relatively short - lived. It is recommended to maintain short - term long positions in iron ore trading and set stop - losses [3] Summary by Relevant Catalogs Market Review - Iron ore closed higher on the first trading day after the holiday and continued to rise at night [3] Important Information - The National Development and Reform Commission and the State Administration for Market Regulation issued an announcement on governing price disorderly competition and maintaining a good market price order, guiding industry associations to assess average industry costs [3] - This week, the supply of five major steel products was 863,310 tons, a week - on - week decrease of 3,760 tons (0.4%); the total inventory was 1.60072 million tons, a week - on - week increase of 127,860 tons (8.7%); the weekly consumption was 751,430 tons, with building material consumption down 32.8% and plate consumption down 7.8% week - on - week [3] - New York Fed President Williams supported further interest rate cuts in 2025 to address potential sharp slowdown risks in the labor market [3] - The European Central Bank kept interest rates unchanged in September, gave a moderately optimistic assessment of the euro - zone economy, and implied a high threshold for further policy easing [3] Market Logic - The arrival volume of iron ore increased, showing an increasing trend on the supply side. The iron - water output showed signs of peaking. The market expected steel mills to have concentrated restocking demand, but the impact was relatively short - lived [3] Trading Strategy - Continue to maintain short - term long positions in iron ore and set stop - losses [3]