冠通期货早盘速递-20251010

Report Summary 1. Core Views - China takes a solid step in extraterritorial jurisdiction, with the Ministry of Commerce announcing export controls on relevant rare earth items and technologies, and adding 14 foreign entities to the unreliable entity list. It also implements export controls on items like superhard materials, some rare earth equipment and raw materials, some medium and heavy rare earths, lithium batteries, and artificial graphite anode materials [2]. - Three departments including the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology adjust the technical requirements for new - energy vehicle purchase tax exemptions from 2026 - 2027. The pure - electric driving range of plug - in hybrid and extended - range passenger cars is adjusted from 43 kilometers to no less than 100 kilometers [2]. - The consumer market shows good growth during the National Day and Mid - Autumn Festival holidays this year. Domestic tourism spending reaches 809.006 billion yuan, an increase of 108.189 billion yuan compared to the 7 - day National Day holiday in 2024. The average daily sales revenue of consumption - related industries nationwide increases by 4.5% year - on - year, with commodity consumption and service consumption increasing by 3.9% and 7.6% respectively [2]. - With the continuous advancement of environmental protection production restrictions, most steel mills' sintering machine production restriction ratio increases from 30% to 40% - 50%. Some steel mills' existing iron ore inventories may not last until the end of the production restriction on the 20th. If transportation restrictions continue, raw material supply shortages may lead to blast furnace shutdowns or reduced production loads, and the blast furnace capacity utilization rate is expected to decline slightly in the next 1 - 2 weeks [3]. - The National Development and Reform Commission formulates the application and allocation rules for grain import tariff quotas in 2026. The total cotton import tariff quota in 2026 is 894,000 tons, with 33% being state - trading quotas. The total grain import tariff quotas are 963,600 tons for wheat (90% state - trading quotas) and 720,000 tons for corn (60% state - trading quotas) [3]. 2. Industry Investment Rating No industry investment rating information is provided in the report. 3. Other Summaries 3.1 Plate Performance - Key focus: Urea, coking coal, live pigs, Shanghai copper, and crude oil [4]. - Night - session performance: The report presents the night - session price changes and position - increasing ratios of commodity futures main contracts [4]. - Capital proportion of each commodity plate: Non - metallic building materials account for 2.61%, precious metals 31.86%, oilseeds 10.16%, soft commodities 2.55%, non - ferrous metals 20.98%, coal - coking - steel - ore 12.52%, energy 2.93%, chemicals 11.80%, grains 1.11%, and agricultural and sideline products 3.48% [5]. - Plate positions: The report shows the position changes of commodity futures plates in the past five days [6]. 3.2 Performance of Major Asset Classes | Category | Name | Daily Return (%) | Monthly Return (%) | Year - to - Date Return (%) | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | Equity | Shanghai Composite Index | 1.32 | 1.32 | 17.37 | | | SSE 50 | 1.06 | 1.06 | 12.51 | | | CSI 300 | 1.48 | 1.48 | 19.68 | | | CSI 500 | 1.84 | 1.84 | 31.84 | | | S&P 500 | - 0.28 | 0.70 | | | | Hang Seng Index | - 0.29 | - 0.38 | 33.36 | | | German DAX | 0.06 | 3.06 | 23.62 | | | Nikkei 225 | 1.77 | 8.12 | 21.77 | | | FTSE 100 | - 0.41 | 1.70 | 16.35 | | | 10 - Year Treasury Bond Futures | 0.15 | 0.19 | - 0.81 | | Fixed - Income | 5 - Year Treasury Bond Futures | 0.07 | 0.09 | - 0.76 | | | 2 - Year Treasury Bond Futures | 0.02 | 0.02 | - 0.56 | | Commodity | CRB Commodity Index, WTI Crude Oil | - 0.92, - 1.68 | - 0.42, - 1.58 | 0.88, - 14.49 | | | London Spot Gold | - 1.60 | 3.06 | 51.51 | | | LME Copper | 1.01 | 4.67 | 22.72 | | | Wind Commodity Index | 2.92 | 2.92 | 33.88 | | Other | US Dollar Index | 0.56 | 1.62 | - 8.37 | | | CBOE Volatility Index | 0.00 | 0.12 | - 6.05 | [8]