股指期货将震荡整理黄金、白银、铜期货将偏强宽幅震荡螺纹钢、铁矿石、焦煤、玻璃、纯碱、豆油、棕榈油期货将偏强震荡原油、PTA、PVC期货将偏弱震荡

Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. Core View of the Report Based on macro - fundamental and technical analysis, the report predicts the trend of various futures contracts on October 10, 2025, including stock index futures, bond futures, precious metal futures, base metal futures, and commodity futures. It also provides resistance and support levels for each contract [2]. Summary by Related Catalogs Macro News and Trading Tips - China's Ministry of Commerce imposes export controls on certain rare - earth items and technologies and adds 14 foreign entities to the unreliable entity list. It also issues 4 announcements on export controls for other related items [8]. - Three ministries adjust the new - energy vehicle purchase tax exemption technical requirements for 2026 - 2027, increasing the pure - electric range of plug - in hybrid and extended - range passenger cars [8]. - During the National Day and Mid - Autumn Festival holidays, the domestic tourism spending increased by 108.189 billion yuan compared to 2024, and the average daily sales revenue of consumption - related industries increased by 4.5% year - on - year [8]. - The National Development and Reform Commission and the State Administration for Market Regulation issue an announcement to address price disorderly competition and maintain a good market price order [8]. - From January to August this year, the added - value of above - scale industrial small and medium - sized enterprises in China increased by 7.6% year - on - year, and the export index in August was 51.9% [8]. - A cease - fire agreement in Gaza is reached, and Hamas officials confirm it [8]. - A bill proposed by the US Republicans to end the government shutdown fails to pass in the Senate [9]. - US Treasury Secretary is interviewing candidates for the Fed Chair, and Trump will make a final decision [9]. - Fed officials have different views on interest rate cuts. Williams supports further cuts this year, while Barr advocates caution [9]. - The European Central Bank considered a rate cut in September but did not implement it due to upward inflation risks [10]. Commodity Futures Information - On October 9, US crude oil and Brent crude oil futures declined due to the cease - fire in Gaza and reduced geopolitical risk premiums [11]. - On October 9, international precious metal futures generally fell. COMEX gold and silver futures declined, affected by the US government shutdown, Fed officials' divided views, and the easing of the Middle East situation [11]. - On October 9, the spot silver price reached a high since the 1980s, driven by increased demand for safe - haven assets and supply shortages in the London precious metal market [11]. - On October 9, London base metals rose, supported by factors such as a falling US dollar index, rising global manufacturing PMI, and increased demand in the new - energy sector [12]. Futures Market Analysis and Forecast Stock Index Futures - On October 9, the main contracts of CSI 300, SSE 50, CSI 500, and CSI 1000 stock index futures showed different trends. Overall, they had a slight rise, with some contracts approaching important resistance levels [13][14][15]. - It is expected that on October 10, stock index futures will fluctuate and consolidate, with specific resistance and support levels provided for each contract [19]. - It is expected that in October 2025, the main contracts of stock index futures will generally show a strong - wide - range or strong - fluctuation trend [18]. Bond Futures - On October 9, the main contracts of 10 - year and 30 - year treasury bond futures rose. The 10 - year contract continued to rebound, and the 30 - year contract had a stronger upward trend [34][39]. - It is expected that on October 10, the main contracts of 10 - year and 30 - year treasury bond futures will have a strong - wide - range fluctuation [36][41]. Precious Metal Futures - On October 9, the main contracts of gold and silver futures had significant increases, reaching new highs. Technical analysis shows a strong upward trend [42][50]. - It is expected that in October 2025, the main continuous contracts of gold and silver futures will be strong - fluctuating and are likely to reach new highs [45][51]. - It is expected that on October 10, the main contracts of gold and silver futures will have a strong - wide - range fluctuation and are likely to attack resistance levels [45][51]. Base Metal Futures - On October 9, the main contracts of copper, aluminum, zinc, nickel, and tin futures generally rose, with some breaking through important resistance levels. The alumina futures contract had a weak performance [57][63][69][71][81]. - It is expected that in October 2025, copper, tin futures will be strong - fluctuating; aluminum, zinc, and nickel futures will have a wide - range fluctuation; alumina futures will be weak - wide - range fluctuating [57][63][70][71][81]. - It is expected that on October 10, copper, aluminum, zinc, and tin futures will have a strong - wide - range or strong - fluctuation trend; alumina futures will be strong - fluctuating; nickel futures will be weak - fluctuating [57][63][70][71][81]. Commodity Futures - On October 9, the main contracts of rebar, hot - rolled coil, iron ore, coking coal, glass, and soybean oil futures generally rose; the main contracts of soda ash, crude oil, PTA, and PVC futures declined [87][90][93][98][102][110][116][118][120]. - It is expected that in October 2025, rebar, iron ore, coking coal, glass, and soda ash futures will have a wide - range fluctuation; crude oil futures will have a wide - range fluctuation with a downward trend; PTA and PVC futures will be weak - fluctuating; soybean oil and palm oil futures will be strong - fluctuating [87][93][98][102][107][110][116][118][120][122]. - It is expected that on October 10, rebar, hot - rolled coil, iron ore, coking coal, glass, soda ash, soybean oil, and palm oil futures will be strong - fluctuating; crude oil, PTA, and PVC futures will be weak - fluctuating [2][5][6][7].