Shanxi Securities·2025-10-10 05:59Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Market Perform" rating for the solar industry [1] Core Insights - The solar industry has experienced a significant decline in new installations, with August 2025 showing a 55.3% year-on-year decrease, totaling 7.4 GW. However, cumulative installations from January to August 2025 reached 230.61 GW, reflecting a 64.7% increase year-on-year [3][12] - Solar module exports in August 2025 amounted to 20.4% year-on-year growth, with a total export value of 20.95 billion yuan, and a month-on-month increase of 31.9%. Cumulatively, from January to August 2025, exports totaled 132.21 billion yuan, down 18.0% year-on-year [3][14] - Inverter exports also showed a year-on-year increase of 2.2% in August 2025, with a total export value of 6.29 billion yuan, despite a month-on-month decline of 3.4%. Cumulative inverter exports from January to August 2025 reached 43.4 billion yuan, up 8.0% year-on-year [4][22] - Solar power generation in August 2025 increased by 15.9% year-on-year, contributing to 5.75% of the total national power generation, which was 936.3 billion kWh, reflecting a 1.6% year-on-year increase [5][35] Summary by Sections New Installations - In August 2025, new solar installations in China were 7.4 GW, down 55.3% year-on-year and 33.3% month-on-month. Cumulative installations from January to August reached 230.61 GW, up 64.7% year-on-year [3][12] Exports - Solar module exports in August 2025 were valued at 20.95 billion yuan, showing a year-on-year increase of 20.4% and a month-on-month increase of 31.9%. Cumulative exports from January to August totaled 132.21 billion yuan, down 18.0% year-on-year [3][14] - Inverter exports in August 2025 were valued at 6.29 billion yuan, with a year-on-year increase of 2.2% and a month-on-month decrease of 3.4%. Cumulative inverter exports from January to August reached 43.4 billion yuan, up 8.0% year-on-year [4][22] Power Generation - Solar power generation in August 2025 was 53.82 billion kWh, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 15.9% and accounting for 5.75% of the total national power generation [5][35] Investment Recommendations - Key recommendations include companies focused on new technologies such as Aikang Co. and Longi Green Energy, supply-side companies like Daqo New Energy and Flat Glass Group, and companies with overseas layouts such as Bowei Alloy and Hengdian East Magnet. Additionally, companies in energy storage like Sungrow Power Supply and Deye Technology are highlighted [40]