Dongguan Securities·2025-10-10 09:31Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the automotive industry, expecting the industry index to outperform the market index by more than 10% in the next six months [39]. Core Insights - The automotive sector has shown a mixed performance, with the Shenwan Automotive Index increasing by 0.74% over the past two weeks, underperforming the CSI 300 Index by 1.78 percentage points, ranking 16th among 31 industries [11][18]. - Year-to-date, the automotive sector has risen by 27.92%, outperforming the CSI 300 Index by 8.24 percentage points, ranking 9th among 31 industries [11][18]. - Recent adjustments in vehicle purchase tax exemptions for new energy vehicles (NEVs) are expected to enhance the overall technical standards of NEVs and phase out outdated production capacities [34][24]. Industry Data Tracking - As of October 9, 2025, raw material prices show a slight decline in steel prices by 0.30%, while aluminum prices increased by 1.16%. Copper and lithium carbonate prices remained stable, and prices for synthetic rubber and glass rose by 0.68% and 0.99%, respectively [20][21]. Industry News - The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology announced adjustments to the technical requirements for NEVs, increasing the minimum electric range for plug-in hybrid vehicles from 43 km to 100 km [24]. - The National Development and Reform Commission has allocated 69 billion yuan in special bonds to support the consumption upgrade policy [25]. - The China Automobile Dealers Association reported a retail sales figure of 1.776 million passenger vehicles from September 1-27, remaining flat year-on-year [26]. Company News - BYD reported a 5.52% year-on-year decline in NEV sales for September, totaling 396,300 units [30]. - Seres announced a 19.44% increase in NEV sales for September, reaching 44,700 units [30]. - Tesla plans to launch a lower-priced version of the Model Y to adapt to changes in U.S. electric vehicle incentives [30]. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on companies that enhance brand competitiveness through intelligent processes, such as BYD and Seres [34]. - It also highlights the potential growth in the intelligent driving supply chain, recommending companies like Fuyao Glass and Joyson Electronics [34]. - Additionally, it points to Yutong Bus as a beneficiary of the "old for new" policy in the new energy bus sector [34].