Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" investment rating for the investment banking and brokerage industry [7] Core Insights - Recent market enthusiasm remains high, with Q3 brokerage performance expected to continue its growth trend. The long-term ROE central tendency is anticipated to rise. In the insurance sector, the logic of deposit migration, increased equity allocation, and improved new policy costs is confirmed, leading to greater certainty in long-term ROE improvement and accelerated valuation recovery. Overall, the cost-performance ratio for investment is gradually increasing [2][4] Summary by Sections Industry Performance - The non-bank financial index increased by 2.7% last week, with an excess return of 0.7% relative to the CSI 300. Year-to-date, the non-bank financial index is up 6.9%, but underperforms the CSI 300 by 11.0% [5][17] Market Activity - Market activity has slightly declined, with an average daily trading volume of 21,876.96 billion yuan, down 5.43% week-on-week. The average turnover rate is 2.28%, a decrease of 17.11 basis points [5][39] Insurance Sector - In August 2025, cumulative insurance premium income reached 479.99 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 9.63%. Life insurance premiums grew by 14.05%, while property insurance premiums increased by 4.67% [21][25] Brokerage Recommendations - The report recommends stable dividend-paying stocks such as Jiangsu Jinzhong, China Ping An, and China Pacific Insurance, along with companies like New China Life, China Life, Hong Kong Exchanges, CITIC Securities, Dongfang Wealth, and Tonghuashun based on performance elasticity and valuation [4][6] Financing Activities - In September 2025, equity financing reached 41.634 billion yuan, a month-on-month increase of 86.6%, while bond financing totaled 8.11 trillion yuan, up 8.3% [50]
政策推动行业高质量发展,Q3券商业绩有望持续高增