上证指数越过3900点，创10年新高

Report Industry Investment Rating - No relevant information provided Core Viewpoints - The Shanghai Composite Index has exceeded 3900 points, reaching a 10 - year high, and the 3900 - point level forms strong support. International capital is actively increasing positions in China's technology sector. The liquidity impact is usually short - term, and stock index multi - order allocation should focus on the CSI 300 index. Consumption will be the main driving force for economic growth in the fourth quarter [4][13][36] - The anti - involution policy has been intensified, which helps to get out of deflation. The U.S. is seeing a boom in consumption, and its "re - industrialization" is accelerating. The demand for computing power is soaring, and the semiconductor equipment ETF is highly promising [9][42][51] Summary by Relevant Catalogs Market Index - The Shanghai Composite Index has exceeded 3900 points, hitting a 10 - year high. Due to the liquidity shock of the reduction in the margin collateral conversion ratio of some stocks, the major indices in the two markets tumbled on Friday, but the 3900 - point level of the Shanghai Composite Index forms strong support [4][7][13] Policy News - On October 9, the National Development and Reform Commission and the State Administration for Market Regulation issued an announcement on governing price disorderly competition and maintaining a good market price order, including measures such as investigating and evaluating industry average costs, promoting industry self - discipline, carrying out warning admonitions, strengthening supervision and law enforcement, and giving play to the role of credit supervision [9][10][11] - On October 9, China imposed export controls on relevant rare - earth technologies [13] Capital Inflow and Market Activity - After the holiday, the balance of margin trading reached a new high. In August, 2.56 million new A - share accounts were opened in Shanghai Stock Exchange. In the same month, non - banking financial institutions had a net increase of 1.18 trillion yuan in RMB deposits, indicating that funds are accelerating their transfer to the stock market. The year - on - year growth rate of M1 in August soared to 6.0%, indicating accelerated currency activation, which is beneficial for the upward movement of the stock market [15][18][21] Economic Data Indicators - In August, the core CPI increased by 0.9% year - on - year, and the CPI of consumer goods increased by 0.1% month - on - month. The anti - involution policy helps to get out of deflation [24] - In August, the monthly value of manufacturing fixed - asset investment was 2.62 trillion yuan, with a year - on - year growth rate of - 0.3%. The monthly value of infrastructure investment was 1.90 trillion yuan, with a year - on - year growth rate of - 6.4%. The monthly value of real estate development investment completion decreased by 19.9% year - on - year, showing a continued downward trend [27][30][33] - The monthly value of social consumer goods retail sales in August was 3.96 trillion yuan, with a year - on - year growth rate of 3.4%. Consumption will be the main driving force for economic growth in the fourth quarter [36] International Trade and Consumption - After the U.S. imposed reciprocal tariffs on various countries, the competitiveness of Chinese goods has increased. In August, the U.S. imports from China increased by nearly 40% month - on - month [39] - In August, the total retail and food sales in the U.S. increased by 0.6% month - on - month, exceeding expectations. The sales of U.S. wholesalers reached a record high of 711.3 billion dollars, with a year - on - year increase of 6.2%. The U.S. capital goods imports in August reached 91.9 billion dollars, still at a high level, with a year - on - year growth rate of 10.5%, indicating that the U.S. manufacturing industry is accelerating its return and the "re - industrialization" is speeding up [42][45][48] Investment Strategy - Stock index outlook: The liquidity shock is usually short - term. The CSI 300 index has reasonable valuation and limited callback space. Stock index allocation should mainly focus on CSI 300 index multi - orders [13][53] - Trading strategy: For stock index futures directional trading, the 3900 - point level of the Shanghai Composite Index forms strong support, and stock index futures multi - order allocation should focus on the CSI 300 index. For stock index option trading, take the opportunity to buy far - month deep - out - of - the - money call options [13][56]