本周先涨后跌:可转债周报(2025年10月9日至2025年10月10日)-20251011
- Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant information provided. 2. Core View of the Report - From the beginning of 2025 to October 10, the convertible bond market underperformed the equity market, with the CSI Convertible Bond Index rising by 17.1% and the CSI All-Share Index rising by 23.3%. In the long term, convertible bonds remain relatively high-quality assets due to the persistent pattern of strong demand exceeding supply. However, the current valuation level is relatively high, so attention should be paid to structural opportunities [1][4]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs Market Conditions - From October 9 to 10, 2025 (2 trading days), convertible bonds first rose and then fell. The CSI Convertible Bond Index had a change of 0% (previous trading cycle: +1.6%), and the CSI All-Share Index changed by -0.3% (previous trading cycle: +2.0%). Since the beginning of 2025, the convertible bond market has underperformed the equity market [1]. - By rating, high-rated bonds (AA+ and above), medium-rated bonds (AA), and low-rated bonds (AA- and below) had changes of +0.45%, +0.50%, and -0.31% respectively this week. Low-rated bonds performed poorly [1]. - By convertible bond size, large-scale convertible bonds (bond balance > 5 billion yuan), medium-scale convertible bonds (balance between 500 million and 5 billion yuan), and small-scale convertible bonds (balance < 500 million yuan) had changes of +0.32%, +0.12%, and -0.16% respectively this week. Large-scale convertible bonds performed the best [1]. - By conversion parity, ultra-high parity bonds (conversion value > 130 yuan), high parity bonds (conversion value between 110 and 130 yuan), medium parity bonds (conversion value between 90 and 110 yuan), low parity bonds (conversion value between 70 and 90 yuan), and ultra-low parity bonds (conversion value < 70 yuan) had changes of +0.03%, -0.17%, +0.03%, +0.14%, and +0.15% respectively this week. High parity bonds closed down [2]. Convertible Bond Price, Parity, and Conversion Premium Rate - As of October 10, 2025, there were 420 outstanding convertible bonds (423 at the close on September 30), with a balance of 587.832 billion yuan (589.024 billion yuan at the close on September 30). The average convertible bond price was 132.67 yuan (131.41 yuan at the close on September 30), the average parity was 105.35 yuan (100.18 yuan at the close on September 30), and the average conversion premium rate was 27.6% (27.1% at the close on September 30) [3]. - The conversion premium rate of medium parity convertible bonds (conversion value between 90 and 110 yuan) was 30.1%, higher than the median conversion premium rate of medium parity convertible bonds since 2018 (20.3%) [3]. Convertible Bond Performance and Allocation Directions - This week, convertible bonds first rose and then fell, and the CSI Convertible Bond Index had a change of 0%. Since the beginning of 2025, the convertible bond market has underperformed the equity market. Given the persistent pattern of strong demand exceeding supply in the convertible bond market, convertible bonds remain relatively high-quality assets in the long term. Currently, the overall valuation level is high, so attention should be paid to structural opportunities [4]. Convertible Bond Increase Situation - The top 15 convertible bonds in terms of increase this week include Zhonghuanzhuan 2, Guanzhong Convertible Bond, Haomei Convertible Bond, etc. The increase rates of these convertible bonds range from 6.01% to 20.00% [22].