FRD(SZ:300602) Guoxin Securities·2025-10-11 11:29Investment Rating - The report assigns an "Outperform" rating for the company, with a reasonable valuation range of 40.35 to 45.39 CNY per share [5]. Core Insights - The company is a leading thermal management platform benefiting from the recovery in consumer electronics demand and the explosive growth in AI server cooling needs, with expansion into humanoid robot dexterous hands and cooling solutions opening up greater growth potential [3][4]. - The company has established deep ties with major domestic and international clients across various sectors, including consumer electronics, data centers, and new energy vehicles [1][14]. - The AI server cooling technology is positioned to benefit significantly from the anticipated surge in demand for liquid cooling solutions in data centers, with the global liquid cooling market projected to grow from 2.84 billion USD in 2025 to 21.14 billion USD by 2032, reflecting a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 33.21% [2][61]. Summary by Sections Company Overview - The company is recognized as a leading provider of thermal management and electromagnetic shielding solutions, with a strong focus on innovation and technology [13][14]. - Established in 1993, the company has developed a robust client base, including major players like Huawei, Microsoft, and BYD, and has manufacturing bases in multiple locations [14][40]. Financial Performance - The company has shown steady revenue growth, with a projected increase from 43.46 billion CNY in 2023 to 99.37 billion CNY by 2027, representing a CAGR of 23.1% [4][25]. - Net profit is expected to rise significantly, from 1.03 billion CNY in 2023 to 8.70 billion CNY in 2027, with a notable increase of 104.3% in 2025 [4][25]. Market Trends - The demand for AI servers and related cooling technologies is expected to drive substantial growth, with the AI server market projected to capture nearly 70% of the overall server market by 2028 [51][64]. - The liquid cooling market is anticipated to experience rapid growth, with the Chinese market expected to reach 2.37 billion USD in 2024, growing at a CAGR of 46.8% from 2024 to 2029 [61]. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests that the company is well-positioned to capitalize on the recovery in consumer electronics and the growth in AI server cooling, with a forecasted net profit of 3.86 billion CNY in 2025, corresponding to a price-to-earnings (PE) ratio of 54 [3][4].