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公募REITs周度跟踪:假期前后四连跌,华润商业REIT二次扩募已申报-20251011
Shenwan Hongyuan Securities·2025-10-11 11:42
  1. Report Investment Rating The provided content does not mention the industry investment rating. 2. Core Viewpoints - The REITs market has been under continuous pressure. Before and after the holiday, the overall performance of the REITs market was weak, with four consecutive trading days of decline. Only the data center sector among the eight major sectors closed up. Market liquidity continued to shrink, and the (weekly) average daily turnover rate dropped below 0.3% (excluding the data on the first day of listing), hitting a new low [2]. - As of October 10, 2025, 16 REITs have been successfully issued this year, with a total issuance scale of 33.66 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 27.3%. This week, 3 single - issue public REITs made new progress, and 1 single - expansion REIT made new progress [2]. 3. Summary by Directory 3.1 Primary Market: Three Single - Issue Public REITs Made New Progress - This year, 16 REITs have been successfully issued (6 in Q1 2025, 4 in Q2 2025, 4 in July, 1 in August, and 1 in September), with a total issuance scale of 33.66 billion yuan, a year - on - year decrease of 27.3% [2]. - This week, 3 single - issue REITs made new progress: Huaxia Jiaotou Chutian Expressway REIT was under inquiry, Huaxia Kaide Commercial REIT was listed, and CITIC Construction Investment Shenyang International Software Park REIT was priced after inquiry, with an expected fundraising of 1.098 billion yuan. One single - expansion REIT, Huaxia China Resources Commercial REIT, has submitted an application for expansion [2]. - Currently, in the approval process, there are 9 single - issue REITs that have been submitted, 1 that has been inquired and responded, 1 that has passed the review, and 1 that has been registered and is waiting to be listed; for expansion REITs, 9 have been submitted, 6 have been inquired and responded, and 6 have passed the review [2]. 3.2 Secondary Market: Liquidity Continued to Weaken This Week 3.2.1 Market Review: The CSI REITs Total Return Index Fell by 0.54% - The CSI REITs Total Return Index closed at 1058.71 points this week, down 0.54%, underperforming the CSI 300 by 2.00 percentage points and the CSI Dividend by 2.44 percentage points. Since the beginning of the year, the CSI REITs Total Return Index has risen by 9.38%, underperforming the CSI 300 by 7.95 percentage points but outperforming the CSI Dividend by 9.79 percentage points [2]. - By project attribute, equity - type REITs fell 0.55% and franchise - type REITs fell 0.46% this week. By asset type, the data center (+0.36%), environmental protection and water services (-0.18%), park (-0.28%), and warehousing and logistics (-0.34%) sectors performed better [2]. - Among individual bonds, 17 rose and 56 fell this week. Huatai Nanjing Jianye REIT (+3.00%), Hua'an Waigaoqiao REIT (+1.80%), and GF Chengdu Gaotou Industrial Park REIT (+1.01%) were the top three gainers, while Harvest China Power Construction Clean Energy REIT (-3.32%), China Merchants Expressway REIT (-3.19%), and CICC Vipshop Outlet REIT (-2.35%) were the bottom three [2]. 3.2.2 Liquidity: Both Turnover Rate and Trading Volume Decreased - The average daily turnover rates of equity - type and franchise - type REITs this week were 0.30% and 0.29% respectively, with a change of +0.00 and - 10.81BP compared to last week. The weekly trading volumes were 222 million shares and 66 million shares respectively, a week - on - week decrease of 19.31% and 41.44% [2]. - The data center sector had the highest activity level. 3.2.3 Valuation: The Affordable Housing Sector Had a Higher Valuation - According to the ChinaBond valuation yield, the yields of equity - type and franchise - type REITs were 3.83% and 3.98% respectively. The warehousing and logistics (5.31%), transportation (4.86%), and park (4.37%) sectors ranked among the top three [2]. 3.3 This Week's News and Important Announcements - This Week's News: On September 23, 2025, the Huashan Scenic Area REIT project is progressing smoothly and is expected to become the first in the cultural and tourism field. On September 30, 2025, the first industrial park REIT in Gansu Province launched a tender [35]. - Important Announcements: This week, several REITs announced dividends and share unlockings, including Harvest China Power Construction Clean Energy REIT, Huaxia China Resources Commercial REIT, and others [35].