国产化遇新催化

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate" rating for the industry [5]. Core Insights - The urgency for domestic software innovation (信创) has significantly increased due to the U.S. imposing export controls on critical software and announcing a 100% tariff on Chinese imports starting November 1 [1][10]. - The domestic software market is projected to reach a scale of 2.66 trillion yuan by 2026, with a steady replacement rhythm of "2+8+N" in 2023 [2][20]. - Companies in the software sector have shown a recovery in Q2 2025, with notable revenue and profit growth, indicating a potential bottoming out of performance [3][22]. Summary by Sections Section 1: U.S. Export Controls and Domestic Urgency - The U.S. has announced export controls on all critical software, which has heightened the urgency for domestic software innovation in China [1][10]. - The specific details of the export controls are still pending, but they are expected to primarily affect foundational and high-end industrial software [1]. Section 2: Policy and Financial Tools - The "14th Five-Year Plan" emphasizes technological self-reliance, with significant financial tools being introduced to support emerging industries and infrastructure [2][16]. - A new policy financial tool with a scale of 500 billion yuan is being directed towards sectors like digital economy and artificial intelligence [16]. Section 3: Industry Performance and Positioning - Q2 2025 performance of key software companies indicates a recovery, with revenue growth rates such as 25% for China Software and 151% for Taiji Co. [22][23]. - Despite being a core area for AI, the computer sector has seen lower institutional allocation and growth compared to other TMT sectors [3][22]. Section 4: Companies to Watch - Recommended companies include China Software, Kingsoft, Dameng Data, and Taiji Co. in the critical software space, and Cambrian, Haiguang Information, and Zhongke Shuguang in domestic computing power [4][25].