Investment Rating - The report recommends "Buy" for SF Express and Hai Chen Co., highlighting their valuation attractiveness and operational resilience [2][3]. Core Insights - The express delivery industry processed an average of over 900 million packages daily during the National Day and Mid-Autumn Festival period, with a total of 7.231 billion packages handled [2]. - The logistics sector is seeing stable prices for hazardous goods water transport, with a recommendation for Hai Chen Co. due to improved demand [2]. - The aviation sector is experiencing a 3.2% year-on-year increase in daily passenger transport during the holiday period, with recommendations for China National Aviation and Southern Airlines [3]. - The shipping industry shows a steady upward trend in oil transport indices, while container shipping rates are under pressure [4]. - Port cargo throughput and container throughput have shown month-on-month growth, indicating a favorable outlook for the sector [5]. Summary by Sections 1. Market Review - The transportation index rose by 1.0% from October 4 to October 10, outperforming the Shanghai Composite Index by 1.5% [12]. 2. Industry Fundamentals 2.1 Shipping and Ports - The container shipping index CCFI is at 1014.78 points, down 6.7% week-on-week and down 27.8% year-on-year [22]. - The oil transport index BDTI is at 1090.8 points, down 1.8% week-on-week but up 5.0% year-on-year [38]. 2.2 Aviation and Airports - The average daily flight volume increased by 4.01% year-on-year, with a total of 19.138 million passengers transported during the holiday period [3]. - The Brent crude oil price is at $62.73 per barrel, down 2.8% week-on-week and down 18.7% year-on-year [64]. 2.3 Rail and Road - National railway passenger volume reached 5.05 billion, up 6.6% year-on-year, while road freight volume was 37.48 billion tons, up 3.88% year-on-year [77][81]. 2.4 Express Delivery and Logistics - The express delivery business revenue reached 118.96 billion yuan, up 4.2% year-on-year, with a total volume of 16.15 billion packages, up 12.3% year-on-year [89].
交通运输产业行业周报:国庆中秋假期出入境人次增长,原油价格环比下降-20251012
SINOLINK SECURITIES·2025-10-12 11:11