纯苯苯乙烯周报:苯乙烯检修量级仍可,但下旬投产继续释放-20251012
Hua Tai Qi Huo·2025-10-12 11:18

Report Industry Investment Rating No information provided. Core Viewpoints - The escalation of the Sino-US trade war has dragged down the entire chemical sector. For pure benzene, although the port inventory has decreased after the holiday and downstream提货 is okay, there are still doubts about the long - term procurement sustainability of some downstream products, and the concentrated maintenance of styrene in late October will drag down the demand. Overseas, the pressure of South Korean pure benzene being shipped to China has increased, and the driving force for continuous destocking is not strong. - For styrene, the port inventory has slightly accumulated again after the holiday, and the inventory pressure persists. The downstream提货 performance is still average. The supply side has some devices under maintenance, but there are also new device startups. Overseas demand is weak, and the import pressure from Europe and the US to China will increase. Styrene inventory pressure continues. - The strategy includes short - selling BZ and EB on rallies for hedging, and doing reverse spreads on the EB2511 - EB2512 spread on rallies [4][5]. Summary by Directory 1. Pure Benzene and Styrene Futures and Spot Prices, Basis, and Inter - period Spreads No specific data or analysis content provided other than the figure names, such as "Pure Benzene Main Futures Contract", "Pure Benzene East China Spot Price", etc. [10][11] 2. Styrene Supply - East China styrene arrival volume is 39,200 tons (+ 0.09), and the port提货 volume is 34,800 tons (+ 0.75). - Styrene plant operating rate is 73.61% (+ 2.37%), with East China at 68.07% (+ 2.72%), Shandong at 75.54% (+ 0.43%), and South China at 82.70% (+ 7.62%) [1]. 3. Styrene Downstream Demand - EPS operating rate is 40.74% (- 2.37%), PS operating rate is 54.60% (- 1.70%), ABS operating rate is 72.50% (+ 1.50%), UPR operating rate is 20.00% (- 8.00%), and butadiene - styrene rubber operating rate is 70.40% (+ 0.03%). - EPS sample enterprise inventory is 30,500 tons (- 800), PS sample enterprise inventory is 108,700 tons (+ 19,340), ABS sample enterprise inventory is 251,000 tons (+ 7,400), and butadiene - styrene rubber sample enterprise inventory is 20,500 tons (+ 0) [1]. 4. Styrene Inventory - Styrene East China port inventory is 201,900 tons (+ 4,400), and styrene plant inventory is 193,863 tons (- 9,411) [1]. 5. Pure Benzene Supply and Inventory - Pure benzene East China port inventory is 91,000 tons (- 15,000). - Pure benzene operating rate is 79.29% (+ 0.55%), and hydro - benzene operating rate is 63.24% (- 0.75%) [2]. 6. Pure Benzene Downstream Demand - Non - styrene downstream: Caprolactam operating rate is 96.00% (+ 0.00%), phenol - acetone operating rate is 78.00% (- 1.00%), aniline operating rate is 77.16% (+ 1.12%), and adipic acid operating rate is 66.90% (+ 4.00%). - CPL industry chain: Caprolactam CPL operating rate is 96.00% (+ 0.00%), CPL plant inventory is 50,000 tons (+ 0.00); PA6 operating rate is 78.21% (+ 2.17%), PA6 conventional spinning plant inventory days is 7.00 days (+ 0.00 days); nylon filament operating rate is 78.00% (+ 0.00%), nylon filament plant inventory days is 34.50 days (+ 0.00 days). - Phenol - acetone industry chain: Phenol - acetone operating rate is 78.00% (- 1.00), Jiangyin phenol port inventory is 7,000 tons (+ 1,000), Jiangyin acetone port inventory is 30,500 tons (+ 7,500); bisphenol A operating rate is 74.67% (+ 1.22); PC operating rate is 80.92% (- 2.50), epoxy resin operating rate is 50.89% (+ 1.13). - Aniline industry chain: Aniline operating rate is 77.16% (+ 1.12); polymer MDI operating rate is 96.00% (+ 0.00), polymer MDI plant inventory is 72,000 tons (+ 0.00), pure MDI operating rate is 96.00% (+ 0.00), pure MDI plant inventory is 7,000 tons (+ 0.00). - Adipic acid industry chain: Adipic acid operating rate is 66.90% (+ 4.00); spandex operating rate is 77.50% (+ 0.00), spandex plant inventory days is 50.00 days (+ 0.00); PA66 operating rate is 60.45% (- 0.82); polyurethane elastomer operating rate is 53.50% (+ 1.21) [2][3].