期货技术分析周报：2025年第42周-20251013

1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - Technical indicators show various signals for different commodity sectors. In the non - ferrous and precious metals sector, gold shows a bearish signal, silver is mainly oscillating, aluminum alloy is bullish, and nickel, polysilicon, and stainless steel are bearish. In the black and shipping sector, wire rods and European line container shipping are strong, while rebar, hot - rolled coils, and manganese silicon show bearish signals. In the energy and chemical sector, most energy products show bearish signals except asphalt, and methanol is bullish while PTA, plastics, etc. are bearish. In the agricultural products sector, rapeseed, apples, etc. are bullish, and rapeseed meal, soybean No.1, etc. are bearish [1][2][3][4]. - Attention should be paid to price breakthroughs near pivot points and position management in each sector [3][4]. 3. Summaries According to Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Non - ferrous and Precious Metals Sector 3.1.1 Technical Indicator Signal Summary - Precious metals: Gold shows a bearish signal, and silver is mainly oscillating. Non - ferrous metals: Aluminum alloy shows a bullish signal, while nickel, polysilicon, and stainless steel show bearish signals, and the rest are mainly oscillating [11][12]. - Lithium carbonate LC2511 is expected to fluctuate in the range of 71,300 - 76,800 yuan/ton, oscillating around the MA60 moving average [13]. 3.1.2 Weekly Pivot Analysis - Copper and aluminum are mainly oscillating. Copper has strong resistance near R3, and the core support of copper price fluctuates in the range of 80,000 - 83,000 yuan/ton. Aluminum also has strong resistance near R3. Gold and silver maintain an upward trend, but gold is oscillating at a high level, and silver is approaching the overbought area, so attention should be paid to resistance breakthroughs [18]. 3.2 Black and Shipping Sector 3.2.1 Technical Indicator Signal Summary - Wire rods and European line container shipping show bullish signals, while rebar, hot - rolled coils, and manganese silicon show bearish signals, and the rest are mainly oscillating. Rebar is currently restricted by weak trading volume and open interest, and the upward repair space is limited, with the key resistance near the MA60 moving average [20][21][24]. 3.2.2 Weekly Pivot Analysis - Rebar and hot - rolled coils show an oscillating feature, and the market may be in a short - term technical balance. Iron ore shows narrow - range fluctuations. Coking coal and coke have high volatility, and attention should be paid to price breakthroughs near pivot points [26]. 3.3 Energy and Chemical Sector 3.3.1 Technical Indicator Signal Summary - In the energy sector, most products show bearish signals except asphalt. In the chemical sector, methanol shows a bullish signal, while PTA, plastics, PVC, etc. show bearish signals [30][31][32]. - PTA2601 is mainly oscillating. If the price breaks down, the secondary support is near 4,380 - 4,430 yuan/ton; if the breakdown fails, the upper pressure range is 4,940 - 5,010 yuan/ton [34]. 3.3.2 Weekly Pivot Analysis - Crude oil has high volatility and shows a wide - range oscillating pattern. PTA, styrene, etc. have high price elasticity, and plastics and other chemical products are in a stable state recently. Attention should be paid to price breakthroughs near pivot points [37]. 3.4 Agricultural Products Sector 3.4.1 Technical Indicator Signal Summary - Rapeseed, apples, jujubes, and peanuts show bullish signals, while rapeseed meal, soybean No.1, and eggs show bearish signals, and the rest are mainly oscillating. The M2601 contract of soybean meal is mainly oscillating this week, with the center of gravity moving down by about 100 yuan/ton, and the short - term support range is 2,920 - 3,050 yuan/ton [42][43][44][47]. 3.4.2 Weekly Pivot Analysis - Soybean No.1, soybean meal, rapeseed meal, etc. show narrow - range consolidation. Soybean oil, palm oil, etc. have high price volatility. Pigs and apples show medium - wide pivot oscillating intervals, and attention should be paid to price breakthroughs near pivot points [49].