能源化工期权策略早报：能源化工期权-20251013

1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - The energy - chemical sector is divided into energy, alcohols, polyolefins, rubber, polyesters, alkalis, and others [8]. - For each sector, some varieties are selected to give option strategies and suggestions, and option strategy reports are compiled based on underlying market analysis, option factor research, and option strategy suggestions for each option variety [8]. - Strategies suggest constructing option combination strategies mainly as sellers, as well as spot hedging or covered strategies to enhance returns [2]. 3. Summaries According to Related Catalogs 3.1 Futures Market Overview - For different energy - chemical option varieties, data on the latest price, price change, price change rate, trading volume, volume change, open interest, and open interest change of the underlying contracts are presented. For example, the latest price of crude oil SC2512 is 449, with a price change of - 20 and a price change rate of - 4.27% [3]. 3.2 Option Factors - Volume and Open Interest PCR - Volume PCR and open interest PCR are used to describe the strength of the option underlying market and whether the underlying market has a turning point. Data on volume, volume change, open interest, open interest change, volume PCR, volume PCR change, open interest PCR, and open interest PCR change for different option varieties are provided [4]. 3.3 Option Factors - Pressure and Support Levels - Pressure and support levels of option varieties are analyzed from the perspective of the exercise prices with the largest open interest of call and put options. Data on the underlying contract, at - the - money exercise price, pressure point, pressure point deviation, support point, support point deviation, maximum call open interest, and maximum put open interest for different option varieties are given [5]. 3.4 Option Factors - Implied Volatility - Implied volatility data, including at - the - money implied volatility, weighted implied volatility, weighted implied volatility change, annual average implied volatility, call implied volatility, put implied volatility, historical volatility, and the difference between implied and historical volatility, are provided for different option varieties [6]. 3.5 Strategies and Suggestions 3.5.1 Energy - related Options - Crude Oil: The OPEC+ started a new round of production increase of 1.65 million barrels per day in October, and the market is worried about long - term oversupply. The market shows a weak trend. Suggested strategies include constructing a neutral call + put option combination strategy for volatility, and a long collar strategy for spot hedging [7]. - LPG: The PDH device maintenance situation is stable, but the profit is declining. The market shows an oversold rebound with pressure. Suggested strategies are similar to those of crude oil [9]. 3.5.2 Alcohol - related Options - Methanol: Port inventory has increased, and the market shows a weak trend. Suggested strategies include constructing a bearish call + put option combination strategy for volatility and a long collar strategy for spot hedging [9]. - Ethylene Glycol: The supply load has increased slightly, and the market is weak. Suggested strategies include a bearish spread strategy for directionality, a short - volatility strategy for volatility, and a long collar strategy for spot hedging [10]. 3.5.3 Polyolefin - related Options - Polypropylene: The commercial inventory has increased, and the market is weak. Suggested strategies include a long collar strategy for spot hedging [11]. 3.5.4 Rubber - related Options - Rubber: Inventory has decreased, and the market shows a weak consolidation. Suggested strategies include constructing a bearish call + put option combination strategy for volatility [12]. 3.5.5 Polyester - related Options - PTA: The market start - up rate is 75.61%, and the supply support is insufficient. The market is weak. Suggested strategies include constructing a bearish call + put option combination strategy for volatility [12]. 3.5.6 Alkali - related Options - Caustic Soda: The start - up rate has decreased, and inventory has increased. The market shows a downward trend with pressure. Suggested strategies include a bearish spread strategy for directionality and a long collar strategy for spot hedging [13]. - Soda Ash: Inventory has increased, and the market shows a low - level weak consolidation. Suggested strategies include a short - volatility combination strategy for volatility and a long collar strategy for spot hedging [13]. 3.5.7 Urea Options - The supply utilization rate has increased, and demand from some downstream industries has decreased. The market shows a low - level weak consolidation. Suggested strategies include a bearish spread strategy for directionality, a bearish call + put option combination strategy for volatility, and a long collar strategy for spot hedging [14].