半导体与半导体生产设备行业周报、月报：中国加大稀土出口管制，美方计划对中加征100%关税-20251013

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" investment rating for the semiconductor and semiconductor equipment industry [5]. Core Insights - The semiconductor industry is experiencing fluctuations in stock performance, with overseas AI chip indices rising by 2.66% while domestic AI chip indices fell by 0.6% during the review period [1][10]. - The demand for AI-related applications is driving growth in the semiconductor sector, particularly in storage chips, which saw a 12.2% increase in their index [1][15]. - The global server shipment volume is expected to grow steadily from 2025 to 2030, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 5.1% [2][23]. - The Chinese embodied intelligence industry is projected to reach a market size of 400 billion yuan by 2030 and exceed 1 trillion yuan by 2035 [2][25]. Market Indices Summary - Overseas AI chip index increased by 2.66%, with AMD rising over 30% [10]. - Domestic A-share chip index decreased by 0.6%, with notable gains from Tongfu Microelectronics and others [10]. - Server ODM index rose by 5.8%, with most component stocks showing increases [12]. - Storage chip index increased by 12.2%, driven by AI demand [15]. - Power semiconductor index rose by 1.1% [15]. - The A-share fruit chain index increased by 1.0%, while the Hong Kong fruit chain index rose by 0.9% [17]. Industry Data Summary - Global server shipment volume is projected to reach 1.91 million units by 2030, with a CAGR of 5.1% from 2025 to 2030 [2][23]. - AMD's processor market share has surpassed 40%, reaching 41.3%, marking a historic high [2][24]. - The market for smartphones with GenAI capabilities is expected to account for 35% of global shipments, with Apple leading at 46% market share [25][26]. Major Events Summary - China has implemented targeted export controls on rare earth elements, affecting the semiconductor supply chain [3][28]. - The U.S. plans to impose a 100% additional tariff on China starting November 1, in response to China's export controls [3][29]. - Intel's new Fab 52 facility in Arizona has officially begun production, marking a significant step in U.S. semiconductor manufacturing [28][29].