公用事业行业跟踪周报:山东有序推动绿电直连发展,宁电入湘正式投入商运-20251013
Soochow Securities·2025-10-13 05:11

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the utility sector [1]. Core Insights - The report highlights the orderly promotion of green electricity direct connection development in Shandong and the official commercial operation of the "Ningdian into Hunan" project, which enhances electricity supply capacity [5][10]. - It suggests focusing on investment opportunities in hydropower and thermal power during the peak summer season, recommending specific companies for investment [2]. - The report emphasizes the growth potential of nuclear power, with multiple approvals for new units, and the recovery of asset quality in green energy [2][5]. Summary by Sections 1. Market Review - The SW utility index increased by 3.45% during the week of October 6-10, 2025, with notable gains in various sub-sectors such as thermal power and gas [10]. - The top-performing stocks included Dazhong Public Utilities (+21.1%) and Shanghai Electric (+18.7%) [10]. 2. Electricity Sector Tracking 2.1. Electricity Consumption - Total electricity consumption from January to July 2025 reached 5.86 trillion kWh, a year-on-year increase of 4.5%, with growth in all sectors [14]. 2.2. Power Generation - Cumulative power generation for the same period was 5.47 trillion kWh, reflecting a 1.3% year-on-year increase, with varying performance across different energy sources [22]. 2.3. Electricity Prices - The average electricity purchase price in June 2025 was 389 RMB/MWh, down 1% year-on-year and 1.3% month-on-month [35]. 2.4. Thermal Power - As of October 10, 2025, the price of thermal coal was 705 RMB/ton, a decrease of 17.92% year-on-year [43]. 2.5. Hydropower - The Three Gorges Reservoir's water level was normal, with inflow and outflow rates significantly higher than previous years [54]. 2.6. Nuclear Power - Eleven new nuclear units were approved in 2024, indicating a positive growth trajectory for the sector [2]. 3. Key Announcements - The report includes significant announcements related to the development of green electricity projects and the operational status of major power transmission projects [5].