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农业重点数据跟踪周报:猪价下行叠加政策引导,产能去化或加速-20251013
CAITONG SECURITIES·2025-10-13 05:54

Core Insights - The report indicates a downward trend in pig prices due to increased supply and policy guidance, leading to accelerated capacity reduction in the industry [1][7][18] - The overall agricultural sector has shown a positive performance with a 1.18% increase week-on-week, while the pig farming segment is experiencing significant losses [11][36] Pig Farming Data Tracking - The number of breeding sows has slightly decreased, with a 0.33% month-on-month decline in September [19] - Pig prices have dropped significantly, with the average price on October 9 being 11.89 CNY/kg, reflecting a week-on-week decrease of 6.16% [28][29] - The profitability of pig farming remains negative, with losses of 152.15 CNY per head for self-bred pigs and 301.04 CNY per head for purchased piglets as of October 10 [36] Poultry Farming Data Tracking - The poultry sector is facing challenges due to outbreaks of avian influenza, but there are investment opportunities in the white-feathered chicken market [37] - The average price for white-feathered meat chickens was 6.88 CNY/kg on October 10, with a slight week-on-week decrease of 0.15% [40] Animal Health Data Tracking - The demand for animal health products is expected to rebound, driven by an increase in livestock numbers and new product launches [47] - Significant growth in vaccine approvals has been noted, with various companies making advancements in vaccine development [47] Seed Industry Data Tracking - The prices of key agricultural commodities such as wheat and soybean meal have increased, indicating a positive trend in the seed industry [50] - The report emphasizes the importance of strengthening food security and promoting the commercialization of biological breeding [50] Pet Industry Data Tracking - Pet food exports have decreased by 15.5% year-on-year, amounting to 834 million CNY in August 2025 [56] - Domestic sales of pet food are growing rapidly, with a combined growth rate of 3% across major e-commerce platforms in September [57]