Guoxin Securities·2025-10-13 08:52Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the automotive industry [1][4]. Core Views - The automotive industry is transitioning into a technological era, with electric, intelligent, and connected vehicles driving growth. The report emphasizes the importance of energy flow applications in electrification and data flow applications in intelligence [14][15]. - The report highlights the rise of domestic brands and the opportunities in incremental components driven by electric and intelligent trends [4][25]. - The forecast for the domestic automotive market indicates a compound annual growth rate of 2% over the next 20 years, with significant growth in new energy vehicles [15][22]. Monthly Sales and Market Performance - In September, the narrow passenger car market is expected to see a retail sales volume of approximately 2.15 million units, representing a month-on-month increase of 6.5% and a year-on-year increase of 2% [1][10]. - The automotive sector's performance in September showed a 6.38% increase, outperforming the CSI 300 index by 3.18 percentage points [2][10]. Key Company Earnings Forecasts and Investment Ratings - Key companies such as Leap Motor, Geely, and JAC Motors are rated as "Outperform" with expected earnings per share (EPS) growth and price-to-earnings (PE) ratios indicating strong future performance [5][10]. - Leap Motor is projected to have an EPS of 0.62 in 2025, with a PE ratio of 107, while Geely is expected to have an EPS of 1.57 with a PE of 13 [5]. Market Trends and Innovations - The report notes significant advancements in autonomous driving technologies, with companies like Tesla and local players making strides in robotaxi operations and intelligent vehicle features [3][4]. - The report emphasizes the importance of new product cycles, particularly for companies like Huawei and Xiaomi entering the automotive space, which are expected to drive growth in the industry [3][4]. Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on domestic brands that are rising in the electric and intelligent vehicle segments, as well as companies involved in the supply of incremental components [4][25]. - Specific recommendations include companies like Top Group, Horizon Robotics, and various domestic auto parts suppliers that are well-positioned to benefit from the ongoing transformation in the automotive industry [4][24].