Core Insights - The Hong Kong stock market experienced a significant trading volume of HKD 490.37 billion on October 13, 2025, with net inflows from southbound funds amounting to HKD 19.804 billion. Major indices in the Hong Kong market saw a general decline, primarily influenced by geopolitical tensions following Trump's announcement of 100% tariffs and export controls on China, despite subsequent easing statements from Trump and Vance, which left market sentiment affected [10][10]. Market Performance - The Hang Seng Index fell by 1.52% to 25,889.48, while the Hang Seng Tech Index decreased by 1.82% to 6,145.51. The Hang Seng China Enterprises Index dropped by 1.45% to 9,222.54, and the Hang Seng High Dividend Yield Index saw a slight decline of 0.18%. In the A-share market, the Shanghai Composite Index fell by 0.19%, the CSI 300 decreased by 0.50%, and the Wind All A Index dropped by 0.35%, with the Dividend Index slightly up by 0.02% [6][10]. Sector Analysis - In terms of sector performance, the non-ferrous metals sector led gains with an increase of 2.28%, followed by light industry manufacturing and basic chemicals, both up by 0.60%. Conversely, the electronics sector fell by 2.66%, the home appliances sector decreased by 2.37%, and non-bank financials dropped by 2.08%. Among concepts, the local brokerage index surged by 17.08%, the financial IC index rose by 7.96%, and the software outsourcing index increased by 5.18%, while the Foxconn index fell by 6.47%, the smart home index decreased by 5.70%, and the smart terminal index dropped by 5.50% [6][10]. Future Outlook - The report suggests that the ongoing trade tensions will not alter the slow bull market trend in Hong Kong stocks. Potential avenues for future growth include: 1) AI technology and new consumption sectors, which are expected to have significant growth potential; 2) Continued inflows from southbound funds, enhancing marginal pricing power; and 3) The transmission from loose monetary policy to loose credit in China, alongside potential US interest rate cuts, which could improve global liquidity and support further gains in the Hong Kong market [10].
港股日评:“TACO”交易重现,港股修复缓慢-20251014
Changjiang Securities·2025-10-13 23:31