Guohai Securities·2025-10-14 01:34Key Insights - The recent announcement by two departments regarding the governance of price disorder in the market is expected to stabilize the prices of epoxy propane and polyether, leading to a positive outlook for the chemical industry [3][4] - The chemical industry in China is anticipated to undergo a revaluation due to the reduction of overcapacity globally, which could enhance cash flow and dividend yields for companies in this sector [4] - The "Work Plan for Stable Growth in the Petrochemical Industry (2025-2026)" aims for an average annual growth of over 5% in the added value of the petrochemical industry, focusing on innovation and quality improvement [5][6] Industry Analysis - The chemical industry is expected to see a significant increase in demand for chromium salts due to the rising orders for gas turbines and commercial aircraft engines, with a projected shortfall of 250,000 tons by 2028 [8] - The report highlights four key investment opportunities in the chemical sector: low-cost expansion, improved industry conditions, new materials, and high dividend yields from state-owned enterprises [9][10] - The report emphasizes the importance of focusing on leading companies in various sub-sectors, such as Wanhua Chemical and Hualu Hengsheng, which are well-positioned to benefit from these trends [11] Market Trends - The report notes that the price of Brent and WTI crude oil has decreased by 3.53% and 4.04% respectively, indicating a potential impact on the chemical industry [12] - The domestic market for epoxy propane has shown a steady upward trend, supported by supply constraints and increased purchasing activity during the holiday season [13][14] - The report also mentions the stable pricing of various chemical products, including MDI and ammonium phosphate, suggesting a balanced supply-demand dynamic in the market [15][19] Company-Specific Insights - Companies like Zhenhua Co. are expected to benefit from the anticipated increase in demand for chromium salts, with a production capacity of 260,000 tons in 2024 [8] - The report highlights the performance of various companies in the chemical sector, including the stable pricing of products from companies like Yangu Huatai and Huafeng Chemical [16][23] - The report indicates that companies such as Yonghe Co. are projected to see significant profit growth in the upcoming quarters, with an expected net profit increase of over 200% [29]