双融日报鑫融讯-20251014
Huaxin Securities·2025-10-14 01:43
  • The report introduces the "Huaxin Market Sentiment Temperature Indicator," which is used to gauge the overall market sentiment. The indicator is constructed by analyzing historical data over the past five years, focusing on six dimensions: index price changes, trading volume, number of rising and falling stocks, KDJ indicator, northbound capital, and margin trading data. This indicator is classified as an oscillating indicator, similar to the RSI indicator, and is more effective in a range-bound market rather than a trending market[5][9][22] - The construction process of the Huaxin Market Sentiment Temperature Indicator involves the following steps: 1. Collect historical data over the past five years. 2. Analyze the data based on six dimensions: index price changes, trading volume, number of rising and falling stocks, KDJ indicator, northbound capital, and margin trading data. 3. Calculate the sentiment score based on the analyzed data. 4. Classify the sentiment score into five categories: over-cold (0-19), cold (20-39), neutral (40-59), hot (60-79), and over-hot (80-100)[5][9][22] - The evaluation of the Huaxin Market Sentiment Temperature Indicator suggests that it is more suitable for range-bound markets and may become less effective in trending markets. When the indicator remains around 80 or above or 20 or below for an extended period, it may indicate the emergence of a trend[5][9][22] - The specific test results for the Huaxin Market Sentiment Temperature Indicator show that the current market sentiment score is 56, indicating a neutral sentiment. Historical trends suggest that when the sentiment score is below or close to 50, the market tends to find support, while a score above 90 indicates potential resistance[5][9][22]