2025年9月进出口数据解读：特朗普关税3.0风波再起，中国进出口贸易现状、走势及发展

Group 1: Trade Performance - In September 2025, China's exports grew by 8.3% year-on-year, up from a previous growth of 4.4%[5] - Imports increased by 7.4%, compared to a prior growth of 1.3%[5] - The trade surplus for September was $90.45 billion, down from $102.33 billion in the previous month[5] Group 2: Contributing Factors - The growth in exports is attributed to market diversification, optimization of export product structure, and a rebound in demand for high-tech products driven by the global AI wave[3] - The low base effect from September 2024, where exports fell by 6.3 percentage points to 2.3%, also contributed to the current growth figures[6] - High-tech product exports saw significant increases, with growth rates of 11.48% for high-tech products, 12.63% for electromechanical products, and 24.85% for general machinery[7] Group 3: Challenges Ahead - The announcement of a 100% tariff on all Chinese imports by the U.S. starting November 1, 2025, introduces uncertainty for China's trade outlook[16] - The potential economic backlash from high tariffs could negatively impact both the U.S. and Chinese economies, complicating trade relations[18] - Despite the challenges, the upcoming Canton Fair in October 2025 is expected to showcase a record participation of over 32,000 companies, indicating resilience in China's trade sector[19]