电子行业2025年Q3业绩前瞻:3Q25业绩持续增长,重点关注存储涨价和算力业绩兑现
Shenwan Hongyuan Securities·2025-10-14 14:41

Investment Rating - The report rates the electronic industry as "Positive" for Q3 2025 performance outlook [2] Core Insights - The global semiconductor landscape is being reshaped, with significant advancements in advanced processes and domestic production capabilities expected to enhance pricing power [4] - The AI computing sector is projected to maintain robust capital expenditures, with North American and domestic CSPs expected to exceed $420 billion in 2025, reflecting a 61% year-on-year increase [4] - The storage segment is anticipated to see continued price increases due to a shift towards high-margin products by overseas manufacturers [4] Summary by Sections Advanced Process - The advanced process segment is expected to see significant growth, with SMIC projected to achieve revenues of 17 billion yuan in Q3 2025, a 9% increase year-on-year, and Hua Hong Semiconductor expected to reach 4.5 billion yuan, a 19% increase [4][5] Advanced Packaging - The advanced packaging sector is accelerating with the industrialization of 2.5D/3D technologies, with Longji Technology expected to report a net profit of 520 million yuan in Q3 2025, a 13.8% increase year-on-year [4][5] AI Computing - The AI computing segment is benefiting from accelerated cloud services and the economic viability of AI applications, with Shenghong Technology projected to achieve revenues of 5.5 billion yuan in Q3 2025, a 93.5% increase year-on-year [4][5] Storage - The storage market is experiencing price increases, with DDR4 module prices expected to rise by 38-43% in Q3 2025. Demingli is projected to report a net profit of 100 million yuan, a 193.6% increase year-on-year [4][5] Power - The power segment is stabilizing, with Yangjie Technology expected to achieve revenues of 2.05 billion yuan in Q3 2025, a 31.5% increase year-on-year [4][5] Analog - The analog segment is showing positive trends, with Naxin Micro expected to report revenues of 850 million yuan in Q3 2025, a 64.4% increase year-on-year [4][5] Recommendations - Key companies to focus on include SMIC, Hua Hong Group in advanced processes; Longji Technology, Yongxi Electronics in advanced packaging; Demingli, Zhaoyi Innovation in storage; and Shenghong Technology, Naxin Micro in power and analog sectors [4][5]