Workflow
国防军工行业周报(2025年第42周):内需外贸促发军工新格局,持续建议加大军工关注度-20251015
Shenwan Hongyuan Securities·2025-10-15 05:01

Investment Rating - The report suggests increasing attention to the military industry, focusing on flexible and thematic varieties [4]. Core Viewpoints - The military industry is entering a new upward cycle due to significant changes in the Middle East arms trade market, an expansion of domestic demand, and the expected implementation of the "14th Five-Year Plan" and "15th Five-Year Plan" [6][15]. - The report emphasizes the importance of the BEST project entering a new phase of main engine assembly, with large orders for controllable nuclear fusion expected to be tendered in Q4 2025, indicating a period of intensive catalysts for the industry [6][66]. - Key areas of focus include next-generation equipment, rapid realization of unmanned and counter-unmanned weapons starting in 2025, and the rapid expansion of information and intelligence capabilities with the introduction of new equipment [6]. Summary by Sections 1. "14th Five-Year Plan" Completion and "15th Five-Year Plan" Expectations - The completion of the "14th Five-Year Plan" is expected to boost performance, while the "15th Five-Year Plan" is anticipated to continue to develop [28]. - The military cooperation between China and Saudi Arabia is expected to deepen, with significant military demands arising from geopolitical tensions [29][34]. 2. Military Trade Demand and Market Trends - The demand for military trade is rapidly expanding, particularly in the Middle East, where ongoing conflicts are likely to increase military spending and weapon imports [35][38]. - The global military trade market is on an upward trend, with the U.S. being the largest exporter, accounting for approximately 47% of the global military trade market in 2024 [41]. 3. Financial Performance and Revenue Trends - The report highlights the revenue growth trends across various military equipment sectors, with significant fluctuations observed in recent quarters due to order delays and stricter acceptance criteria [22][23]. - The military trade business is expected to significantly enhance the revenue and profitability of listed companies, as military trade products typically have higher profit margins compared to domestic sales [49][56]. 4. Technological Advancements and Future Outlook - The report discusses advancements in military technology, including the development of new aircraft, missiles, and drones, positioning China as a core exporter in these areas [42][45]. - The transition from single product sales to integrated equipment systems is anticipated to enhance competitiveness and expand market share in military trade [46].