玉米淀粉日报-20251015

Report Overview - The report is a daily report on corn and corn starch on October 15, 2025, covering data, market analysis, trading strategies, option strategies, and related charts [2][3] 1. Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the report 2. Report's Core View - The U.S. corn report has lowered the yield per unit, but the production remains high, and the U.S. corn price has declined. It may continue to fall. The import profit of foreign corn is high, and the domestic corn spot price is relatively stable in the short - term. The new - season corn has been listed in large quantities, and the spot price in the Northeast has declined. It is expected that there will be selling pressure on Jilin corn at the end of October. The corn starch price is mainly affected by the corn price and downstream stocking. The inventory has increased this week, and the short - term 01 contract of the corn starch futures is expected to fluctuate weakly [5][6][7] 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Data 3.1.1 Futures Market - Corn Futures: Contracts C2601, C2605, and C2509 all rose, with C2601 closing at 2127, up 16 (0.75%); C2605 at 2218, up 16 (0.72%); C2509 at 2247, up 12 (0.53%). The trading volume of most contracts decreased, while the open interest of some contracts increased [3] - Corn Starch Futures: Contracts CS2601, CS2605, and CS2509 also rose, with CS2601 closing at 2418, up 17 (0.70%); CS2605 at 2529, up 12 (0.47%); CS2509 at 2571, up 1 (0.04%). The trading volume and open interest of most contracts increased [3] 3.1.2 Spot and Basis - Corn Spot: Prices in various regions such as Qinggang, Songyuan Jiji, and others showed different trends. The basis varied from - 297 in Qinggang to 63 in Guangdong Port [3] - Corn Starch Spot: Prices in different factories like Longfeng, COFCO, etc., remained stable, and the basis was positive in all regions, ranging from 121 to 391 [3] 3.1.3 Spread - Corn Inter - delivery Spread: For example, C01 - C05 was - 91, unchanged; C05 - C09 was - 29, up 4; C09 - C01 was 120, down 4 [3] - Corn Starch Inter - delivery Spread: CS01 - CS05 was - 111, up 5; CS05 - CS09 was - 42, up 11; CS09 - CS01 was 153, down 16 [3] - Cross - variety Spread: CS09 - C09 was 324, down 11; CS01 - C01 was 291, up 1; CS05 - C05 was 311, down 4 [3] 3.2 Market Analysis 3.2.1 Corn - The U.S. corn yield per unit may be further lowered, and the price will fluctuate narrowly. China has imposed tariffs on U.S. corn and sorghum. The import profit of foreign corn is high. The spot price in the northern ports and the Northeast has declined, and the supply in North China has increased. The wheat price in North China is strong, and the substitution relationship between wheat and corn still exists. The domestic breeding demand is weak, and the downstream feed enterprise inventory is low. The new - season corn has been listed in large quantities, and it is expected that there will be selling pressure on Jilin corn at the end of October [5][6] 3.2.2 Corn Starch - The number of trucks arriving at Shandong deep - processing plants has increased, and the corn spot price in Shandong is weak. The corn starch inventory has increased this week, reaching 1199,000 tons, an increase of 8000 tons from last week, with a monthly increase of 5.27% and a year - on - year increase of 46.9%. The starch price depends on the corn price and downstream stocking. The by - product price is strong, and the enterprise is profitable. It is expected that the spot price of corn starch will decline later, and the 01 contract of the futures will fluctuate weakly in the short - term [7] 3.3 Trading Strategies - Unilateral Trading: It is recommended to lightly go long on the 01 or 05 corn contracts with a stop - loss set. The U.S. corn has support at 400 cents per bushel [9] - Arbitrage Trading: It is recommended to wait and see [10] 3.4 Option Strategies - A short - term strategy of accumulating put and call options with rolling operations is recommended [11] 3.5 Related Charts - The report includes six charts showing the spot price of corn in different regions, the basis of the corn 01 contract, the 1 - 5 spread of corn and corn starch, the basis of the corn starch 01 contract, and the spread between the corn starch and corn 01 contracts [15][17][20]