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前三季度进出口数据点评:出口同比增速延续正增长
Bank of China Securities·2025-10-16 01:19

Export Performance - In the first three quarters, China's export value increased by 6.1% year-on-year, with a trade surplus of $875.08 billion[1] - In September, exports grew by 8.3% year-on-year, a significant acceleration of 3.9 percentage points compared to the previous month[1] - ASEAN and EU contributed positively to September's export growth, with contributions of 2.4 and 2.0 percentage points, respectively[1] Import Trends - Imports decreased by 1.1% year-on-year in the first three quarters, but the decline narrowed by 1.1 percentage points compared to the previous period[1] - In September, imports increased by 7.4% year-on-year, a notable rise of 6.1 percentage points from the previous month[1] - High-tech product imports remained active, with semiconductor device imports growing by 3.0% and integrated circuit imports by 8.8% in the first three quarters[2] Trade Dynamics - The trade surplus for the first three quarters was 628.21 billion yuan, with exports growing by 7.1% year-on-year in RMB terms[1] - Exports to the US saw a decline of 27.0% year-on-year in September, but the negative impact on overall export growth narrowed by 0.9 percentage points compared to August[1] - The overall trade environment remains uncertain, with expectations for domestic demand expansion policies in the fourth quarter[2]