纸浆数据日报-20251016

Group 1: Report Industry Investment Rating - No information provided Group 2: Core Viewpoints of the Report - The fundamentals of pulp have not improved significantly, but there is a potential shortage of delivery resources for SP2601, and the futures price may be priced based on Russian pulp and high - quality softwood pulp; maintain the 11 - 1 reverse spread strategy [5] Group 3: Summary by Related Catalogs Pulp Price Data - Futures Prices: On October 15, 2025, SP2601 was 5170 with a daily increase of 0.19% and a weekly increase of 0.54%; SP2511 was 4856 with a daily increase of 0.21% and a weekly increase of 0.46%; SP2505 was 5240 with a daily increase of 0.19% and a weekly increase of 1.08% [5] - Spot Prices: On October 15, 2025, softwood pulp Silver Star was 5500 with no daily change and a weekly decrease of 0.36%; Russian softwood pulp was 5000 with no daily change and a weekly decrease of 0.99%; hardwood pulp Goldfish was 4250 with no daily and weekly changes [5] - Outer - disk Quotes: In October 2025, Chilean Silver Star was 700 dollars/ton, down 2.78% from the previous period; Japanese - origin pulp was 530 dollars/ton, up 3.92%; Chilean Venus was 590 dollars/ton, unchanged [5] - Import Costs: In October 2025, the import cost of Chilean Silver Star was 5721, down 2.75% from the previous period; Brazilian Goldfish was 4344, up 3.87%; Chilean Venus was 4830, unchanged [5] Pulp Fundamental Data - Supply: In August 2025, softwood pulp imports were 61.4 tons, down 4.95% from July; hardwood pulp imports were 125.8 tons, down 6.88% from July. The pulp shipment volume to China in August 2025 was 162 tons, up 4.50% [5] - Production: From August 14 to September 25, 2025, the domestic production of hardwood pulp fluctuated between 20.6 - 23.8 tons, and the production of chemimechanical pulp fluctuated between 20.8 - 22.3 tons [5] - Inventory: As of September 25, 2025, the inventory of mainstream pulp ports in China was 203.3 tons, a decrease of 7.9 tons from the previous period, a 3.7% decrease [5] - Demand: From August 14 to September 25, 2025, the production of offset paper fluctuated between 19.5 - 21 tons, coated paper between 7.8 - 8.5 tons, tissue paper between 28.04 - 28.2 tons, and white cardboard between 31.5 - 35.9 tons [5] Pulp Valuation Data - Basis: On October 15, 2025, the basis of Russian softwood pulp was 144 with a quantile level of 0.866; the basis of Silver Star was 644 with a quantile level of 0.878 [5] - Import Profit: On October 15, 2025, the import profit of softwood pulp Silver Star was - 221 with a quantile level of 0.285; the import profit of hardwood pulp Goldfish was - 94 with a quantile level of 0.555 [5] Market Analysis - Supply Side: Arauco's softwood pulp outer - disk quotes decreased, and hardwood pulp quotes increased [5] - Demand Side: Current paper product demand is basically stable, paper product prices have not rebounded significantly, and the positive impact of the peak season on pulp demand has not been reflected [5] - Inventory Side: As of September 25, 2025, pulp inventory showed a decreasing trend [5]