CAITONG SECURITIES·2025-10-16 14:28Core Insights - The report maintains a positive outlook on the pharmaceutical and biotechnology sector, highlighting a significant reduction in tariff risks for multinational corporations (MNCs) in the industry due to agreements with the U.S. government [5][8] - MNCs are expected to continue relying heavily on China's supply chain for raw materials and intermediates in the short term, despite the tariff reductions [5][8] - Emerging technologies such as small nucleic acid drugs and in vivo Car-T are maturing, creating new order opportunities for the Chinese supply chain [5][9] Section Summaries MNC Tariff Risk Reduction - The U.S. government has reached agreements with companies like AstraZeneca and Pfizer, allowing them to invest more in U.S. manufacturing and reduce drug prices in exchange for a three-year tariff exemption [5][8] - MNCs will likely adopt similar strategies to mitigate tariff risks, which will significantly lower the overall tariff burden on the industry [5][8] Industry Performance Review - As of October 10, 2025, the TTM-PE for the pharmaceutical and biotechnology sector is 51.48 times, which is 111% higher than the historical low of 24.38 times [10] - The sector's premium over the CSI 300 index is 263%, exceeding the historical low premium by 139 percentage points [10] Subsector Performance - The pharmaceutical and biotechnology sector experienced a decline of 1.20% from September 25 to October 10, 2025, ranking 21st among 27 subsectors [14][17] - Within the sector, traditional Chinese medicine saw an increase of 1.51%, while medical services and chemical preparations faced declines of 3.37% and 2.48%, respectively [17] Individual Stock Performance - The top three performing stocks in the sector were *ST Guohua (10.25%), Changshan Pharmaceutical (8.69%), and Zhenbao Island (8.56%) [21] - Conversely, the worst performers included Furui Co. (-7.47%), Xinlitai (-6.71%), and Jiming Health (-6.50%) [21] Q3 2025 Earnings Forecast - The report provides a detailed earnings forecast for Q3 2025, indicating expected net profits for various companies, including JianKai Technology and MeiNian Health, with specific growth drivers highlighted [23][24] Industry Dynamics - Recent approvals for new drugs and treatments, such as UCB's Zilucoplan for myasthenia gravis and Hemay005 for psoriasis, indicate ongoing innovation and regulatory progress within the sector [25][27][29]