Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. Core View of the Report Through macro - fundamental analysis and technical analysis, the report predicts the trend of various futures on October 16, 2025, including股指期货,国债期货, precious metal futures, base metal futures, and energy and chemical futures, and also provides resistance and support levels for each futures contract [2]. Summary by Related Catalogs Futures Market Outlook - Stock Index Futures: Expected to oscillate and consolidate on October 16, 2025. For example, IF2512 has resistance levels at 4609 and 4632 points, and support levels at 4549 and 4498 points [2]. - Treasury Bond Futures: The ten - year Treasury bond futures T2512 and the thirty - year Treasury bond futures TL2512 are likely to have wide - range oscillations on October 16, 2025 [2]. - Precious Metal Futures: Gold futures AU2512 and silver futures AG2512 are likely to oscillate strongly on October 16, 2025, and may reach new highs since listing [2]. - Base Metal Futures: Copper, aluminum, zinc, etc. are likely to oscillate weakly on October 16, 2025 [2]. - Other Futures: Polycrystalline silicon futures PS2511 is likely to have wide - range oscillations; steel products, coal, glass, etc. are likely to oscillate weakly on October 16, 2025 [2]. Macro News and Trading Tips - Financial Data: In September, M2 increased by 8.4% year - on - year, M1 increased by 7.2% year - on - year, and the "gap" between M1 and M2 reached a new low for the year. The average lending rate for enterprises and individuals remained low [7]. - Inflation Data: In September, CPI increased by 0.1% month - on - month and decreased by 0.3% year - on - year; core CPI increased by 1% year - on - year; PPI remained flat month - on - month and decreased by 2.3% year - on - year, with the decline narrowing [7]. - International Trade: The US threatened to impose 100% tariffs on China, and the EU tried to force Chinese enterprises to transfer technology. China firmly opposed such actions [8]. - Economic Policy: To consolidate and expand the economic recovery, it is necessary to balance supply and demand, manage expectations, and improve the efficiency of macro - regulation [8]. - Industry Development: In the first three quarters, the manufacturing industry showed positive development, and there were also achievements in digital economy reform and high - end electronic measurement instruments [9]. - International Finance: The IMF warned that global public debt may exceed 100% of GDP by 2029, and the US government shutdown continued, affecting market sentiment [10]. Futures Market Analysis and Outlook - Stock Index Futures: On October 15, 2025, major stock index futures contracts such as IF2512, IH2512, IC2512, and IM2512 showed a trend of opening slightly higher, rising after a decline, and then oscillating upwards. It is expected that in October 2025, they will likely have weak wide - range oscillations [14]. - Treasury Bond Futures: On October 15, 2025, the ten - year and thirty - year Treasury bond futures contracts showed a trend of opening slightly lower, rising after a decline, and then oscillating weakly. It is expected that on October 16, 2025, they will have wide - range oscillations [37]. - Precious Metal Futures: Gold and silver futures showed a strong upward trend on October 15, 2025, and reached new highs during night trading. It is expected that in October 2025, they will oscillate strongly and may reach new highs since listing [42]. - Base Metal Futures: Copper, aluminum, zinc, etc. showed different trends on October 15, 2025. It is expected that in October 2025, they will have wide - range oscillations, and on October 16, 2025, copper and aluminum futures will oscillate weakly [57]. - Other Futures: Polycrystalline silicon futures showed an upward trend on October 15, 2025. Steel products, coal, glass, etc. showed a downward trend, and it is expected that on October 16, 2025, they will oscillate weakly [76].
股指期货将震荡整理,黄金、白银期货价格再创上市以来新高,铜、螺纹钢、铁矿石、焦煤、玻璃期货将偏弱震荡
Guo Tai Jun An Qi Huo·2025-10-16 02:04