A股市场大势研判：大盘冲高回落，量能降至2万亿下方

Market Overview - The market experienced a pullback after reaching a high, with total trading volume dropping below 2 trillion yuan [1][5] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3916.23, up 0.10%, while the Shenzhen Component Index fell by 0.25% to 13086.41 [1] Sector Performance - The top-performing sectors included coal (+2.35%), banks (+1.35%), and food & beverage (+0.97%), while the worst performers were steel (-2.14%) and non-ferrous metals (-2.06%) [2] - Concept sectors such as Hainan Free Trade Zone (+2.58%) and military restructuring (+1.98%) showed strong performance, whereas sectors like special steel (-2.68%) and photolithography (-2.47%) lagged [2] Future Outlook - The market is expected to remain volatile but may trend upwards, supported by improving economic fundamentals and a reduction in tariff impacts [5] - The total social financing scale for the first three quarters of 2025 reached 30.09 trillion yuan, an increase of 4.42 trillion yuan year-on-year, indicating a positive trend in financing [4] Economic Indicators - As of September, the broad money (M2) balance was 335.38 trillion yuan, reflecting an 8.4% year-on-year growth [4] - The increase in RMB loans for the first three quarters was 14.75 trillion yuan, suggesting a robust lending environment [4]