房地产及建材行业双周报（2025、10、03-2025、10、16）：地产销售表现分化，建材稳增长政策将改善企业盈利-20251017

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Neutral" rating for both the real estate and building materials sectors [2]. Core Insights - The real estate market is experiencing a divergence in performance, with core cities seeing a recovery in new home sales due to policy optimization and promotional activities, while the second-hand housing market is affected by holiday travel [4][25]. - The building materials sector is expected to benefit from government policies aimed at stabilizing growth, which will improve corporate profitability [4][47]. Summary by Sections Real Estate Sector - The real estate policy environment is at its historically loosest stage, but recent transaction data remains weak, indicating that further policy support is needed for a comprehensive recovery [4][25]. - More cities are expected to implement new policies to relax housing market restrictions, focusing on optimizing purchase limits, reducing costs, and enhancing credit support [4][25]. - The report suggests focusing on stable central state-owned enterprises and regional leaders in first and second-tier cities, such as Poly Developments (600048), Binjiang Group (002244), and China Merchants Shekou (001979) [4][25]. Building Materials Sector - The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology and other departments have issued a plan to stabilize growth in the building materials industry, which includes prohibiting new cement clinker and flat glass production capacity [4][47]. - The plan aims to eliminate 100 million tons of inefficient capacity by 2026, promoting industry concentration and supporting the development of advanced materials [4][47]. - The report highlights the importance of digitalization and green technology in enhancing production efficiency and management levels within the building materials sector [4][47]. Cement Industry - Current demand for cement remains weak, but the acceleration of special bond issuance and policies for urban renewal and rural revitalization are expected to boost demand [48]. - As the industry continues to enhance its "anti-involution" measures, staggered production will help stabilize prices [48]. - The report recommends focusing on companies like Conch Cement (600585), Taipai Group (002233), and Huaxin Cement (600801) due to their favorable dividend yields [48]. Glass and Fiberglass Industry - The glass industry is currently sluggish, but the photovoltaic glass segment is seeing a decline in inventory and price stabilization [49]. - The report anticipates a shift in the photovoltaic glass industry towards a technology-driven, high-end, and green growth model [49]. - The demand for fiberglass is increasing due to the rapid development of electric vehicles and renewable energy sectors, with companies like China Jushi (600176) recommended for investment [50]. Consumer Building Materials - Since 2025, some consumer building material companies have improved profit margins through price increases, supported by urban renewal policies [50]. - Leading companies are enhancing their operational quality and market share by optimizing channel structures and upgrading product lines [50]. - Recommended companies in this segment include Beixin Building Materials (002791), Rabbit Baby (002043), and Three Trees (603737) [50].