Shenwan Hongyuan Securities·2025-10-17 13:57Investment Rating - The report initiates coverage with a "Buy" rating for BYD Electronics [1][7]. Core Insights - The report emphasizes BYD Electronics' competitive advantages and growth potential across its various business segments, including consumer electronics, automotive electronics, and new business layouts in AIDC and robotics [6]. - The company is positioned as the 7th largest EMS globally, benefiting from the transformation cycle in consumer electronics materials and vertical integration to enhance value [6][19]. - The report highlights expected profit growth, with net profits projected to reach RMB 48.9 billion, RMB 67.0 billion, and RMB 88.9 billion for 2025-2027, representing year-on-year growth rates of 15%, 37%, and 33% respectively [7]. Summary by Sections 1. Company Overview - BYD Electronics is a leading high-tech EMS provider, leveraging core technologies in electronic information, AI, 5G, and IoT to offer comprehensive product solutions [19]. - The company has a strong focus on material and process innovation, capturing opportunities in the transformation of mobile device materials [19][25]. 2. Financial Data and Profit Forecast - Revenue projections for 2023 to 2027 are as follows: RMB 129.96 billion, RMB 177.31 billion, RMB 194.70 billion, RMB 221.78 billion, and RMB 240.89 billion, with growth rates of 21.2%, 36.4%, 9.8%, 13.9%, and 8.6% respectively [5]. - The expected net profit for the same period is RMB 4.04 billion, RMB 4.27 billion, RMB 4.89 billion, RMB 6.70 billion, and RMB 8.89 billion, with growth rates of 117.6%, 5.5%, 14.6%, 37.1%, and 32.7% respectively [5]. 3. Business Segments - Consumer Electronics: The company focuses on deepening its business with Apple, expecting Apple-related revenue to account for 69% of its business by 2024 [6]. - Automotive Electronics: The company benefits from the smart upgrade cycle of its parent company, with revenue from this segment reaching RMB 12.45 billion in the first half of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 60.5% [6]. - New Business: The report discusses the potential of AIDC and robotics, with significant advancements in liquid cooling and power supply products certified by NVIDIA [6][9]. 4. Investment Analysis - The report provides a cautious target PE of 18 times for 2026, leading to a target market capitalization of RMB 120.6 billion, indicating an upside potential of 55% [7]. - The report identifies catalysts for stock price performance, including increased supply share of structural components to overseas clients and advancements in new product lines [10].