调整不小:可转债周报(2025年10月13日至2025年10月17日)-20251018
EBSCN·2025-10-18 07:55
- Report Industry Investment Rating - No industry investment rating information is provided in the report. 2. Core View of the Report - In the week from October 13 to October 17, 2025, both the convertible bond and equity markets experienced significant adjustments. The convertible bond market underperformed the equity market. In the long - term, convertible bonds remain relatively high - quality assets due to the pattern where demand exceeds supply, but the current valuation level is generally high, so structural optimization is needed [1][4]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs Market行情 - From October 13 to October 17, 2025 (5 trading days), the CSI Convertible Bond Index fell by 2.3% (0% last week), and the CSI All - Share Index dropped by 3.5% (-0.3% last week). Since the beginning of 2025, the CSI Convertible Bond Index has risen by 14.4%, and the CSI All - Share Index has increased by 19.0%. The convertible bond market underperformed the equity market [1]. - By rating, high - rated bonds (AA + and above), medium - rated bonds (AA), and low - rated bonds (AA - and below) fell by 1.73%, 3.41%, and 3.51% respectively this week, with high - rated bonds having the smallest decline [1]. - By convertible bond size, large - scale convertible bonds (bond balance > 5 billion yuan), medium - scale convertible bonds (balance between 500 million and 5 billion yuan), and small - scale convertible bonds (balance < 500 million yuan) fell by 1.01%, 2.80%, and 3.98% respectively this week, with large - scale convertible bonds having the smallest decline [1]. - By conversion parity, ultra - high - parity bonds (conversion value > 130 yuan), high - parity bonds (conversion value between 110 and 130 yuan), medium - parity bonds (conversion value between 90 and 110 yuan), low - parity bonds (conversion value between 70 and 90 yuan), and ultra - low - parity bonds (conversion value < 70 yuan) fell by 7.32%, 3.15%, 2.44%, 1.96%, and 1.33% respectively this week, with ultra - high - parity bonds having the largest decline [2]. Convertible Bond Price, Parity, and Conversion Premium Rate - As of October 17, 2025, there were 413 outstanding convertible bonds (420 at the end of last week), with a balance of 566.693 billion yuan (587.832 billion yuan at the end of last week). The average convertible bond price was 130.61 yuan (132.67 yuan at the end of last week), with a percentile of 98.0%. The average convertible bond parity was 103.82 yuan (105.35 yuan at the end of last week), with a percentile of 93.4%. The average conversion premium rate was 27.7% (27.6% at the end of last week), with a percentile of 56.5%. The conversion premium rate of medium - parity convertible bonds (conversion value between 90 and 110 yuan) was 28.8%, higher than the median (20.4%) of medium - parity convertible bonds since 2018 [3]. Convertible Bond Performance and Allocation Direction - In the long - term, convertible bonds are still relatively high - quality assets due to the pattern where demand exceeds supply. However, the current valuation level is generally high, so structural optimization is needed [4]. Convertible Bond Increase Situation - The top 15 convertible bonds in terms of increase this week include Huicheng Convertible Bond, Tongguang Convertible Bond, Liugong Convertible Bond 2, etc. For example, Huicheng Convertible Bond had a convertible bond increase of 20.93% and a underlying stock increase of 20.08% [24].