转债周度跟踪：避险情绪主导风格切换，银行转债回暖-20251018

1. Report Industry Investment Rating No information provided in the content. 2. Core View of the Report - Under the disturbance of Sino - US tariffs, risk appetite declined, and the convertible bond market was significantly suppressed. The high - priced technology sector, which performed strongly in the early stage, had a large decline, while low - priced convertible bonds showed strong resilience. The net outflow trend of two convertible bond ETFs has eased. The median convertible bond price is still around 130 yuan, lacking cost - effectiveness. Short - duration may suppress convertible bond valuations, and external risks make the convertible bond structure fragile, with potential short - term correction risks. However, from a "slow - bull" perspective, corrections present opportunities, and attention should be paid to the opportunities of equity - biased convertible bonds with large pullbacks [2][5]. 3. Summary According to Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Weekly View and Outlook - Sino - US tariff disturbances led to a decline in risk appetite, suppressing the convertible bond market. The high - priced technology sector fell significantly, and low - priced convertible bonds were more resistant. The net outflow of two convertible bond ETFs slowed down. The median convertible bond price around 130 yuan lacks cost - effectiveness. Short - duration suppression on valuations is yet to be seen, and external risks make the structure fragile, with short - term correction risks. But corrections are opportunities for equity - biased convertible bonds [2][5]. 3.2 Convertible Bond Valuation - Due to tariff disturbances, the convertible bond market retreated, and the 100 - yuan valuation dropped to around 35%. High - rated convertible bonds saw a larger decline in valuations. The overall market's 100 - yuan premium rate was 35.1%, down 0.6% week - on - week, at the 92.8% percentile since 2017. High - rated convertible bonds had weaker valuation performance and a larger decline than low - rated ones [6]. - Compared with last week, the conversion premium rate and bottom - support premium rate in each parity range decreased overall. The 60 - 70 yuan, 100 - 110 yuan, and 120 - 130 yuan parity ranges had larger valuation declines, and the historical quantiles of the conversion premium rate in the 120 - 130 yuan and 130 - 140 yuan parity ranges were significantly low [4][10]. - The median convertible bond price was 129.73 yuan, down 2.64 yuan from last week, and the yield to maturity was - 5.81%, up 0.01%. They are at the 97.50 and 1.70 percentiles since 2017 respectively [4][12]. 3.3 Clause Tracking 3.3.1 Redemption - Five convertible bonds, including New Tai Convertible Bond, Chenfeng Convertible Bond, etc., issued early redemption announcements this week. There are 22 convertible bonds that have issued forced redemption or maturity redemption announcements but have not delisted, with a potential conversion or maturity balance of 14.7 billion yuan. Five convertible bonds announced non - redemption, and the forced redemption ratio this week was 50%. There are currently 34 convertible bonds in the redemption process, and 6 are expected to meet the redemption conditions next week [4][15][18]. 3.3.2 Downward Revision - One convertible bond announced a downward revision result, reaching the bottom. As of now, 112 convertible bonds are in the non - downward - revision range, 23 cannot be downward - revised due to net asset constraints, 1 has triggered the condition but the stock price is still below the trigger price without an announcement, and 33 are accumulating downward - revision days. No convertible bond has issued a downward - revision board plan but not held a general meeting of shareholders [21]. 3.3.3 Put Option - Taiping Convertible Bond issued a conditional put option announcement this week. As of now, 5 convertible bonds are accumulating put - option trigger days, including 1 that has triggered the downward - revision condition, 2 are accumulating downward - revision days, and 2 are in the non - downward - revision range [24]. 3.4 Primary Issuance - Jinlang Convertible Bond 02 was issued this week. Jin 25 Convertible Bond, Yingliu Convertible Bond, Funeng Convertible Bond, and Jinlang Convertible Bond 02 have been issued but not listed. Yingliu Convertible Bond will be listed on October 22, 2025. As of now, there are 5 convertible bonds at the approval - registration stage with a to - be - issued scale of 5 billion yuan, and 6 at the listing - committee - approved stage with a to - be - issued scale of 4 billion yuan [4][27].