电新周报:能源领域政策组合拳频出,十五五任务主线逐渐清晰-20251019
SINOLINK SECURITIES·2025-10-19 07:32

Investment Rating - The report suggests a positive outlook on sectors such as green hydrogen, ammonia, wind power, energy storage, and photovoltaic industries, indicating potential investment opportunities in these areas [2][3][4]. Core Insights - The report emphasizes the importance of policies related to renewable energy consumption, carbon reduction, and the development of related manufacturing industries during the 14th Five-Year Plan period in China [2]. - It highlights the shift from demonstration exploration to large-scale development in the hydrogen and fuel cell sector, driven by recent policy initiatives [3][6]. - The report notes that the wind power sector is expected to see increased activity due to tax policy adjustments, particularly benefiting offshore wind projects [3][13]. - The photovoltaic and energy storage sectors are experiencing recovery in profitability, with significant performance improvements expected in Q3 [15][18]. - The lithium battery sector is witnessing a continued rise in key raw material prices, indicating a high level of market activity and potential for further price increases [19][20]. Summary by Relevant Sections Hydrogen and Fuel Cells - Recent policies are systematically removing barriers to the development of green hydrogen and its derivatives, marking a transition to large-scale production [3][6]. - The introduction of mandatory consumption targets for non-electric renewable energy sources is expected to create a stable market demand for green hydrogen [6][7]. - Financial support mechanisms are being implemented to enhance project viability and stimulate supply-side improvements [7][8]. Wind Power - The adjustment of VAT policies for wind power is anticipated to have a limited negative impact on onshore projects while boosting offshore project development [12][13]. - The report indicates a robust growth trajectory for offshore wind installations, with significant bidding activity observed [13][14]. Photovoltaics and Energy Storage - The report notes a recovery in the photovoltaic supply chain, with upstream companies benefiting from improved pricing and profitability [15][16]. - It highlights the importance of monitoring the potential milestones in the anti-involution actions and the year-end installation trends [15][18]. Lithium Batteries - The report discusses the ongoing price increases in key lithium battery materials, particularly lithium hexafluorophosphate, indicating a supply-demand imbalance [19][20]. - It emphasizes the need to focus on leading companies in the lithium battery supply chain that are likely to benefit from these price trends [19][21]. Electric Grid - The report highlights the strong performance of companies like Si Yuan Electric, which has exceeded profit expectations due to increased overseas orders [30][31]. - It also notes the potential for significant growth in the electric grid sector driven by new bidding standards and increased capital expenditures [30][31].