GOLDEN SUN SECURITIES·2025-10-19 09:54Investment Rating - The report recommends a "Buy" rating for several key companies in the construction and infrastructure sectors, including 精工钢构 (Jinggong Steel Structure), 鸿路钢构 (Honglu Steel Structure), 国检集团 (Guojian Group), and others [14]. Core Insights - The construction industry is entering a "stock era," focusing on urban renewal and high-quality construction, driven by the need for green, low-carbon, and smart living environments [1][18]. - Prefabricated construction is identified as a long-term trend, with steel structures expected to show high prosperity due to labor shortages and sustainability requirements [2][21]. - The demand for inspection and testing services is anticipated to peak as the existing building stock ages, with significant market potential estimated at over 20 billion yuan [3][24]. - New infrastructure initiatives, particularly in low-altitude economy and energy sectors, are expected to see rapid growth supported by government policies [4][31]. - The report highlights the strategic importance of regions like Xinjiang and Sichuan, which are set to benefit from increased investment and infrastructure development [10][12][39]. Summary by Sections Construction and Decoration - The construction industry is transitioning from extensive expansion to intensive development, focusing on urban renewal and infrastructure maintenance [1][18]. - The urbanization rate is projected to reach 67% by the end of 2024, indicating a shift in investment focus [1][18]. Prefabricated Construction - The labor force in construction is declining, with the number of construction workers dropping to 42.86 million in 2024, a significant decrease from previous years [2][21]. - The average monthly salary for construction workers is expected to rise to 5,743 yuan in 2024, reflecting a 26% increase since 2019 [2][26]. - The report sets targets for the penetration rate of prefabricated construction at 30% by 2025 and 40% by 2030 [2][21]. Inspection and Testing - The existing building area is projected to reach approximately 38.4 billion square meters by the end of 2024, leading to a surge in demand for building inspections [3][24]. - The establishment of a housing pension system and regular inspection policies in various cities is expected to drive the inspection market [3][24]. New Infrastructure - The low-altitude economy is projected to grow to 2 trillion yuan by 2030, with related infrastructure investments estimated at 300-400 billion yuan [4][31]. - Government policies are increasingly supporting the development of low-altitude infrastructure, with significant funding expected [4][31]. Strategic Regions - Xinjiang is highlighted for its robust economic growth and infrastructure investment, with over 800 billion yuan allocated for coal chemical projects by 2025 [12][41]. - Sichuan is identified as a strategic region for national development, with ongoing support for infrastructure projects [10][39].