CMS·2025-10-19 12:03Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the non-ferrous metal sector, particularly highlighting the attractiveness of resource stocks due to historically low valuations expected by 2026 [1][2]. Core Insights - The ongoing tariff disputes and the potential for U.S. interest rate cuts have driven a surge in precious metal prices, while industrial metals have seen a temporary halt in price increases due to tariff threats [1]. - The report emphasizes the long-term bullish narrative for non-ferrous metals, particularly copper, and suggests that short-term adjustments present buying opportunities [1]. - Key focus areas include copper, silver, aluminum, cobalt, rare earths, tungsten, antimony, and uranium, along with new materials related to technological growth [1]. Industry Overview - The non-ferrous metal sector consists of 236 listed companies with a total market capitalization of 586.38 billion yuan, representing 5.7% of the overall market [2]. - The sector's performance over the past month shows an absolute increase of 2.7%, a 6-month increase of 48.5%, and a 12-month increase of 61.6% [3]. - The report notes that the precious metals index has outperformed other sub-sectors, with significant gains in silver and gold prices due to geopolitical tensions and economic uncertainties [4]. Specific Metal Insights - Copper: As of October 16, copper inventories increased by 11,200 tons to 177,500 tons, while total inventories decreased by 51,700 tons year-on-year. The report anticipates a tightening supply situation for copper, with long-term price increases expected [4]. - Aluminum: Domestic aluminum ingot inventories decreased to 627,000 tons, indicating a positive supply-demand balance. However, macroeconomic risks may still pressure aluminum prices [4]. - Cobalt: Cobalt prices have risen due to supply constraints from the Democratic Republic of Congo, with strong demand from the electric vehicle and consumer electronics sectors [4]. - Rare Earths: The report highlights a mixed performance in rare earth prices, with a significant drop in praseodymium-neodymium oxide prices due to increased supply and cautious purchasing from downstream manufacturers [4]. New Materials and Technologies - The report discusses advancements in fusion energy and the potential for increased demand for uranium, with a focus on companies involved in uranium mining and production [5]. - It also notes the optimistic outlook for lithium and nickel due to strong demand in battery manufacturing, with prices for lithium carbonate showing slight increases [5].