非银金融行业周报：上市险企3季报业绩预告超预期，非银板块攻守兼备-20251019

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive" (maintained) [1] Core Viewpoints - The third quarter earnings forecasts for listed insurance companies have exceeded expectations, indicating a robust performance in the non-bank financial sector, which is characterized by both offensive and defensive capabilities [5] - The insurance sector has shown significant growth despite high base comparisons, with investment income expected to surpass market expectations due to stock market gains [6] - The brokerage sector is anticipated to maintain high profitability, with low valuations presenting strategic investment opportunities [5][6] Summary by Sections Insurance Sector - Listed insurance companies have reported third-quarter earnings forecasts that indicate a year-on-year increase of 50% to 70% for China Life, 45% to 65% for New China Life, and 40% to 60% for China Property Insurance [6] - The stabilization of long-term interest rates and reduced pressure on net assets are expected to improve the return on equity (ROE) for insurance companies, leading to a potential recovery in price-to-book (PB) valuations [6] - Recommended stocks include China Pacific Insurance and Ping An Insurance due to their undervaluation and high potential for investment returns [6] Brokerage Sector - The number of new margin trading accounts opened in September reached a record high of 205,400, reflecting a 288% year-on-year increase [6] - The brokerage sector's net profit for the first three quarters is expected to grow by 53.1%, with the third quarter showing a sequential increase of 1% [6] - Recommended stocks in this sector include Guotai Junan Securities, Huatai Securities, and GF Securities, which are expected to benefit from their respective strengths in retail and institutional business [7]