黑色建材周报:终端需求显著提振,产区煤价连续上涨-20251019
Hua Tai Qi Huo·2025-10-19 12:15

Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided Core Viewpoint - In the short term, the coal market will maintain a relatively strong pattern due to demand support and sentiment transmission. In the long term, the supply remains in a loose pattern, and attention should be paid to non - power coal consumption and restocking [2] Summary by Related Catalogs Market Analysis - Futures and Spot Prices: As of October 17, the Yulin 5800 - kcal index was 613.0 yuan/ton, up 46.0 yuan/ton week - on - week; the Ordos 5500 - kcal index was 555.0 yuan/ton, up 51.0 yuan/ton week - on - week; the Datong 5500 - kcal index was 625.0 yuan/ton, up 50.0 yuan/ton week - on - week. The CCI Import 4700 index was 72.5 dollars/ton, up 2.8 dollars/ton week - on - week, and the CCI Import 3800 index was 56.3 dollars/ton, up 2.3 dollars/ton week - on - week [1][5] - Port Inventory: As of October 17, the total inventory of northern ports was 2183.0 million tons, a decrease of 142 million tons from last week [1] - Power Plant Inventory: As of October 17, the coal inventory of six coastal power plants was 1388.4 million tons, a decrease of 34.7 million tons from last week; the average available days were 17 days, the same as last week; the daily coal consumption was 83.5 million tons, a decrease of 0.8 million tons from last week [1] - Freight Index: As of October 17, the Ocean Coal Freight Index (OCFI) was 1046.24 points, up 143.23 points. The Baltic Dry Index (BDI) was 2069.00 points, up 23.00 points, a 1.12% increase [1] Supply - After the holiday, mines resumed production, but safety inspections became stricter, affecting the rapid release of production [8] Consumption - The terminal demand of downstream metallurgy and chemical industries continued to be released. The purchase prices of large groups increased, and the transportation demand of platform traders increased. There were queues of coal - hauling trucks at some mines, and the coal mine inventory decreased [2][10] Inventory - Due to good downstream demand, the coal mine inventory decreased [13]