Tianfeng Securities·2025-10-19 14:14Investment Rating - The industry rating is maintained as "Outperform" [5] Core Viewpoints - The construction sector is expected to benefit from increased funding and policy catalysts, with a focus on undervalued and high-dividend investment opportunities [13][19] - The construction index decreased by 1.06% during the week, underperforming the broader market by 0.74 percentage points, while the construction transformation and M&A sectors showed positive growth [4][30] - The government is accelerating the implementation of 500 billion yuan in new policy financial tools to support major projects, which is expected to enhance infrastructure growth in the fourth quarter [2][13] Summary by Sections Infrastructure Funding and Policy - The Ministry of Finance will continue to advance the 2026 new local government debt limit to ensure funding for key projects, with an increase of 100 billion yuan from the previous year, totaling 500 billion yuan [2][13] - The issuance of special bonds and long-term special government bonds is progressing rapidly, with a total issuance of 1.148 trillion yuan for the year, nearing 90% of the target [15][16] Valuation and Dividend Analysis - Central state-owned enterprises in the construction sector are showing significantly low price-to-earnings (PE) ratios, with China Chemical at a PE of less than 5%, and price-to-book (PB) ratios also low, indicating potential undervaluation [3][24] - China Construction currently has a dividend yield of 4.86%, outperforming other central state-owned enterprises [3][24] Regional Investment Opportunities - The western region's fixed asset investment grew by 6.6% in the first half of the year, with significant projects in Xinjiang and Tibet expected to catalyze further investment opportunities [19][20] - Key projects include the China-Kyrgyzstan-Uzbekistan railway and the Yaxia hydropower station, which are anticipated to drive demand for construction and related services [20][21] Recommended Stocks - Recommended stocks include China Chemical, China Railway Construction, and China Communications Construction, which are expected to benefit from strategic infrastructure projects and regional growth [9][37] - The report highlights the importance of focusing on high-dividend and low-valuation stocks within the construction sector, particularly in the context of ongoing government support for infrastructure development [3][21]