新型政策性金融工具快评:宽信用又添工具,银行信贷受益
Guoxin Securities·2025-10-20 01:14

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the banking industry is "Outperform the Market" (maintained) [2][3]. Core Viewpoints - The introduction of a new policy financial tool with a total scale of 500 billion yuan is expected to positively impact social financing and bank credit demand in the coming years [4][9]. - The new financial tool will be used entirely to supplement project capital, which can leverage additional loans and enhance bank credit demand [12]. Summary by Sections New Policy Financial Tool - The new policy financial tool, announced on September 29, has a total scale of 500 billion yuan, aimed at supplementing project capital [4][5]. - Historical precedents for similar tools include the special construction fund in 2015 and the policy development financial tool in 2022 [5]. Impact on Social Financing and Bank Credit - The 500 billion yuan will be injected into projects through entrusted loans, directly increasing social financing [12]. - The capital can leverage additional loans, potentially leading to an investment of 4-5 trillion yuan and corresponding credit demand of approximately 3-4 trillion yuan [12]. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests selecting high-quality stocks that are likely to show early signs of recovery, with a focus on Ningbo Bank and China Merchants Bank, while also monitoring Changshu Bank, Changsha Bank, and Chongqing Rural Commercial Bank [9]. - For conservative investors seeking absolute returns, stocks with stable performance and high dividends, such as China Merchants Bank and Jiangsu Bank, are recommended [9].