Group 1 - The core view of the report emphasizes that the 2-3 year medium-rated entities remain suitable for investment, balancing both defensive and offensive strategies. Current high-grade, short-duration spreads have compressed to very low levels, with some high liquidity central enterprises' valuations nearly indistinguishable from similar-term government bonds, indicating limited room for further compression [6][9]. - The report notes that the absolute yield attractiveness of high-grade, medium-term spreads has diminished, with most spreads now below 2.2%. There are still some medium to low-rated entities yielding between 2.15% and 2.3% that can be explored, as evidenced by recent performance [6][9]. - The report highlights that the credit bond market's attention is currently low, with a strong preference for controlling duration and maintaining liquidity, leading to weak buying power. The focus remains on 2-3 year medium-rated entities [6][9]. Group 2 - The weekly review indicates a rebound in issuance volume post-holiday, with net financing increasing to 184.7 billion yuan, marking a return to levels close to 200 billion yuan after a two-month period [11][13]. - The report states that credit spreads across various grades and maturities have continued to narrow, with the average spread compression around 1-3 basis points, while low-rated and long-term bonds remained stable [11][17]. - The report also mentions that the average credit spread for city investment bonds has narrowed by approximately 4 basis points, with minimal differentiation among provinces, while industry credit spreads have also contracted by 3 basis points [22][23].
信用债市场周观察:2~3Y中等资质主体攻守兼备
Orient Securities·2025-10-20 05:12