公募 REITs 周报(第38 期):公募 REITs 再现千亿资金抢筹-20251020
Guoxin Securities·2025-10-20 05:31

Report Industry Investment Rating There is no information provided in the report regarding the industry investment rating. Core Viewpoints - This week, the China Securities REITs Index declined by 1.5%. The average weekly price - change rates of property - type REITs and franchise - type REITs were - 1.6% and - 0.9% respectively. The weekly price - change comparison of major indices shows that China Securities All - Bond Index > China Securities REITs Index > CSI 300 Index > China Securities Convertible Bond Index. Most sectors closed down, with water conservancy facilities, affordable housing, and warehousing and logistics leading the decline [1]. - As of October 17, 2025, the dividend yield of property REITs was 76 basis points higher than the average dividend yield of CSI Dividend stocks, and the spread between the average internal rate of return of franchise - type REITs and the 10 - year Treasury yield was 216 basis points [1]. - On October 16, the release results of Huaxia Zhonghai Commercial REIT and CITIC Construction Shenyang International Software Park REIT were announced. The total subscription amount of the two public REITs exceeded 200 billion yuan [1][4]. Summary by Relevant Catalogs Secondary Market Trends - As of October 17, 2025, the closing price of the China Securities REITs (closing) Index was 814.73 points, with a weekly price - change rate of - 1.5%. It performed worse than the China Securities All - Bond Index (+0.3%) but better than the China Securities Convertible Bond Index (-2.4%) and the CSI 300 Index (-2.2%). Year - to - date, the price - change ranking of major indices is: CSI 300 (+14.7%) > China Securities Convertible Bond (+14.4%) > China Securities REITs (+3.2%) > China Securities All - Bond (+0.4%) [2][6]. - In the past year, the return rate of the China Securities REITs Index was 4.4% with a volatility of 7.2%. Its return rate was lower than that of the CSI 300 Index and the China Securities Convertible Bond Index but higher than that of the China Securities All - Bond Index. Its volatility was lower than that of the CSI 300 Index and the China Securities Convertible Bond Index but higher than that of the China Securities All - Bond Index. The total market value of REITs decreased to 217.4 billion yuan on October 17, a decrease of 2.9 billion yuan from the previous week. The average daily turnover rate for the whole week was 0.39%, an increase of 0.08 percentage points from the previous week [2][7]. - Most sectors closed down, with water conservancy facilities, affordable housing, and warehousing and logistics leading the decline. The top three REITs in terms of weekly gains were China Merchants Expressway REIT (+1.65%), Huatai - PineBridge Jiuzhitong Pharmaceutical REIT (+0.99%), and Harvest China Power Construction Clean Energy REIT (+0.71%) [3][14][17]. - Among different project types, new infrastructure REITs had the highest daily turnover rate during the period, with an average daily turnover rate of 2.3%. Transportation infrastructure REITs had the highest trading volume proportion this week, accounting for 18.8% of the total REITs trading volume. The top three REITs in terms of net inflow of main funds were Huaxia Kaide Commercial REIT (7.49 million yuan), CICC Yinli Consumption REIT (5.11 million yuan), and Huaxia Fund China Resources Youchao REIT (4.2 million yuan) [3][20][21]. Primary Market Issuance - From the beginning of the year to October 19, 2025, there were 2 REITs products in the "accepted" stage, 1 in the "declared" stage, 1 in the "in - query" stage, 5 in the "feedback - received" stage, 7 in the "approved and pending listing" stage, and 12 first - issued products that had been approved and listed on the exchange [23]. Valuation Tracking - REITs have both bond and equity characteristics. As of October 17, the average annualized cash distribution rate of public REITs was 6.6%. Different valuation indicators are used from the bond and equity perspectives. The relative net - value premium/discount rate, IRR, and P/FFO are used to judge the valuation of REITs [25]. - The relative net - value premium/discount rate, P/FFO, IRR, and annualized dividend rate vary among different project types. For example, the relative net - value premium rate of affordable housing REITs was 39.5%, with a P/FFO of 34.7, an IRR of 3.6%, and an annualized dividend rate of 3.4% [26]. - Property - type REITs focus on dividend yield, while franchise - type REITs focus on internal rate of return. As of October 17, 2025, the dividend yield of property REITs was 76 basis points higher than the average dividend yield of CSI Dividend stocks, and the spread between the average internal rate of return of franchise - type REITs and the 10 - year Treasury yield was 216 basis points [28]. Industry News - On October 16, Huaxia Zhonghai Commercial REIT announced that the effective subscription application confirmation ratios of public investors and offline investors were 0.2763% and 0.3120% respectively, corresponding to effective subscription multiples of 361.9 times and 320.5 times. The total pre - ratio - allocation raised amount was 159.33 billion yuan, 100.5 times its planned raised amount [34]. - On the same day, CITIC Construction Shenyang International Software Park REIT announced its subscription results. Before ratio allocation, the total effective subscription amount was approximately 44.434 billion yuan. It is the first successfully issued public REITs project in Northeast China [34].