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Group 1: Inbound Consumption Growth - Inbound consumption is expected to grow by over 40% this year, contributing approximately 0.2 percentage points to the annual retail sales growth[1] - By 2024, inbound tourists are projected to reach 132 million, with total spending of $94.2 billion, recovering to 97.2% and 93.5% of 2019 levels respectively[1] - The average spending per inbound tourist in 2024 is estimated at $714, slightly below the 2019 figure of $742[1] Group 2: Policy Support and Impact - The expansion of visa-free access has increased the number of countries with unilateral visa exemptions to 47, leading to a 52.1% increase in visa-free inbound tourists[3] - The optimization of tax refund policies has resulted in a 97.5% increase in sales of tax-refunded goods, with the number of beneficiaries rising 2.5 times[3] - The expected increase in inbound consumption this year is estimated at around 263.8 billion RMB, which is about 0.2 percentage points of the total retail sales[4] Group 3: Future Projections - In 2025, inbound tourist numbers and total spending are likely to see double-digit growth, surpassing 2019 levels[2] - The inbound consumption's share of GDP is projected to be around 0.5% in 2024, compared to 1% to 3% in major global economies, indicating significant growth potential[4]