Market Outlook and ETF Strategy - The market is expected to experience short-term fluctuations and consolidation, with a cautious funding participation due to reduced trading volume and activity levels [2][6] - The volatility of the Shanghai Composite Index over the past 30 trading days is at a relatively low historical level, indicating insufficient momentum for a significant upward movement [2][7] - The report suggests a balanced allocation strategy, focusing on broad-based, strategic, and style ETFs due to the current market's rapid rotation and limited directional consensus among funds [2] Industry and Sector Trends - The technology growth sector is currently deemed to have a low probability of success, leading to its exclusion from the current allocation strategy, with a focus on defensive sectors instead [2][4] - The report recommends increasing allocations to defensive sectors such as coal and electricity ETFs, while also considering the performance support from the non-ferrous metals sector [4] - The strategy emphasizes the importance of maintaining some exposure to large-cap growth assets, particularly in technology, if market sentiment improves towards the end of the month [4]
ETF主观配置策略月报(八):以守待攻-20251020
Soochow Securities·2025-10-20 10:29