Lily Group(SH:603823) CMS·2025-10-20 11:22Investment Rating - The report initiates coverage with an "Accumulate" rating for the company [7]. Core Views - The company is a leading domestic organic pigment manufacturer benefiting from industry improvements driven by national environmental and safety policies, leading to increased industry concentration and recovery of profit margins [1][2]. - The company is actively expanding into the panel photoresist pigment market, which is expected to contribute significantly to growth, establishing a second growth curve [6][7]. Company Overview - The company specializes in the production and sale of organic pigments, with a comprehensive range of products covering mainstream varieties. It holds over 40,000 tons of production capacity, accounting for approximately 10% of the global market [2][13]. - The company has seen a reversal in performance in 2024, with revenue expected to grow by 5.23% after a decline due to industry competition [28]. Financial Data - The company achieved a revenue of 2.284 billion yuan in 2023, with a projected revenue of 2.499 billion yuan in 2025, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 4.0% [8][30]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to reach 208 million yuan in 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 18.4% [7][30]. Industry Dynamics - The organic pigment industry is experiencing a shift towards higher concentration due to the exit of smaller, less efficient producers, which is improving overall industry profitability [6][50]. - The domestic market for organic pigments is expected to continue growing, with a projected production of 277,000 tons in 2024, an increase of 11.24% from 2023 [46][49]. Growth Opportunities - The company is investing in new projects, including a 10 billion yuan investment in high-performance organic pigments and supporting materials, which will enhance its production capabilities [54][22]. - The panel photoresist pigment market presents significant growth potential, with the company already achieving ton-level sales in this segment [54][55].